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Economic Survey
2013 Vol.1 Issue.3
Published 2013-05-06
Original Articles
1
The Differences of Enterprises’ Profit in Provincial Area and Regional Stickiness of Industry Transfer under the Background of Dual Economy
LIU Li,XU Chun-hua
The paper probes into the relationship between the different profit level of enterprises in China and the regional stickiness of industries transfer brought by the labor mobility under the background of dual economy by using the panel data of 31 provinces of China for the period of 1998~2010. The result shows industry transfer in China is the comprehensive result of the micro-enterprise’s profit maximization behavior and the regional stickiness of industry transfer. Therefore,industry transfer policy should match the policy to eliminate dual economy for remarkable effect.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 1-6 [
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7
The Grey Correlation Analysis of the Relationship between the Regional Institution Innovation and Economic Growth ——Taking Pudong New Area of Shanghai Comprehensive Matching Reform Pilot Area as an Example
FAN Xiao-li, HAO Da-jiang
This paper studies the relevance of institution innovation and economic growth of Pudong New Area of Shanghai Synthetically Reform Testing District by using the grey correlation model. Results show that the institution innovation plays a positive role in economic growth,with four important performances such as the liquidity of labour market,the denationalization rate of property rights,the economic opening degree and the marketization rate of capital. The four important performance plays different influence on economic growth. Therefore the institution reform is vital to promote regional economic development from the perfect flow mechanism of talent market,the optimization structure of state-owned economy,the selection of economic open mode and the guidance and supervision of government in the use of funds.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 7-13 [
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3620
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14
Study on the Regional Disparity of Technical Efficiency in China’s Cities
XUAN Chao,NAKAMURA Ryohei
This paper estimates the technical efficiency levels in different regions by SFA and explores their influencing factors. It is found that the amount of input is the main determinant of our urban production. Technical efficiency of China’s cities is not improved annually. The degree of technical efficiency in the western region is higher than that in the Midwest region,and the urban disparity of technical efficiency between the small resource-based cities and the large and medium-sized cities. FDI shows a better performance in the improvement of urban technical efficiency,than domestic investment.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 14-19 [
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3387
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20
Influencing Factors of the Farmer’s Willingness on Rural Property Mortgage in the West——Based on Survey of 164 Farmers of Tongxin
MA Peng-ju,LUO Jian-chao
This paper researches the influencing factors of farmers’ willingness on rural property rights mortgage by analyzing survey data of 164 peasants in Tongxin County of Ningxia Autonomous Region in 2012 with binary logistic model. It is found that sex,family members,land area,per capita income,social relations,understanding on mortgage and credit cooperatives service satisfaction have a positive significant impact on the farmers' mortgage willingness; education has a negative significant impact on the farmers’ mortgage willingness; age,dependency ratio,management patterns,net asset,traffic convenience and interest rate have no significant impact on the farmers’ mortgage willingness.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 20-25 [
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3048
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26
Analysis on Farmers’ Livelihood Capital Vulnerability
GUO Sheng-qian, ZHANG Ji-wei
This paper evaluates the farmers’ livelihood capital vulnerability situation by defining it and building the measuring indicators of sustainable farmers ' livelihood capital with factor analysis method. It is concluded that the difference of farmers ' livelihood capital vulnerability not only exists in space,but also reflected obviously in the financial capital and human capital. The main factors affecting farmers ' livelihood capital vulnerability are the availability of farmers ' family’s funds,employment as well as education and vocational training. Accordingly,proposal made to avoid farmers ' livelihood capital vulnerability.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 26-30 [
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31
The Income Effect of Rural Informal Financial Development in China——An Empirical Research Based on Panel Data of Eastern,Central and Western Regions
SU Jing,HU Zong-yi,ZHU Qiang
Based on the regional panel data from 1986 to 2010,this paper investigates the income effect of rural informal financial development in China. The results show that: China’s rural informal financial development promotes the growth of farmers' income significantly. The efficiency of informal financial scale on increasing farmers' income is generally higher than that of the formal finance. These effects are significantly different in different regions and at different time. The development of the informal finance returns higher for low-income,while formal finance’s development is more favorable to high-income earners. Based on this,some suggestions are put forward about rural informal financial development and deepening reform of rural financial.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 31-35 [
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36
The Yield-increasing Effect as a result of Direct Grain Subsidies ——Based on the Panel data of Henan
LIU Qi,LIU Pei-pei
The paper analyzes grain production panel data from 2004 to 2009 in Henan Province It is found that the direct subsidy effect to increase the yield in primary areas are greater than that in non-primary areas; As for expanding the planting area,the direct subsidy effect coefficient is lower than the price effect coefficient; The space depending on expanding the planting area in production increase diminishes. Direct subsidy policy together with with price policy helps farmer to increase production input in grain.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 36-40 [
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41
Land Banking Financing and Land Revenue Distribution
SUN Chao
The land banking system is established to improve the efficiency of land development.And in order to carry out the system effectively,the government must raise fund in the market way. With the rapid development of industrialization and urbanization,land reserves encountered some problems. These problems are not only about the use of financing instruments ,but also related to the distribution of land revenue. This article is to profile the status of the land bank financing and explore the future direction of the reform of financing mechanisms. The article believes that the integrated use of a variety of financing tools and effective and innovative land revenue allocation mechanism is the key to break the current land bank financing bottleneck.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 41-46 [
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2867
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47
The Study on the Effect of Host Country’s Adjustment in Foreign Investment Policy upon FDI Entry and Exit Decision——Based on Discrete-time Model
FANG Yi-ni
This paper analyzes the dynamic relationship between host country’s adjustment in expect and unexpected foreign investment policy and FDI entry and exit decision with discrete-time mode . As uncertainty and periods increase,investors will be more cautious in decision-making,and require more risk compensation. The existence of inertial range of investment decisions leads to a different response intensity of investment changes has on foreign investment policy adjustments. And it points out that the scale of FDI in China doesn’t change with foreign investment policy adjustment at the same time. And the key measure to making best use of foreign investment policy is to keep its predictability and stability.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 47-51 [
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52
Difference between Determined Factors of International Trade in Cultural Goods and Cultural Services
MENG Ying-hua,LI Yan-li
Because of different traits and the substitution between trade in cultural goods and cultural services,the competitive ability of the above two trade modes represents dissimilar characteristics. The paper demonstrates the distinct traits of determined factors of international trade in cultural goods and trade in cultural services by data of Canada. The results are as follows: GDP and population,two control variables of the gravity equation,have opposite effects on these two trade modes,geography distance have negative effects on two trade modes,and trade in cultural services are affected more by geography distance. The effects of cultural distance on two trade modes are ambiguous. The coverage of information network has positive effects on trade in cultural goods,but has no obvious effects on trade in cultural services.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 52-57 [
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58
Technology Gap,Knowledge Spillovers of FDI and Innovation Abilities of the Domestic Enterprises—An Empirical Analysis Based on China’s High-tech Industries
SHA Wen-bing
This paper examines the effects of technology gap between domestic and foreign high-tech enterprises on the knowledge spillovers of FDI by using panel data of 17 sub-sectors of the high-tech industries in China. It is found that R&D activities of foreign-invested enterprises cause knowledge spillovers to the domestic enterprises,and promote the innovation abilities of domestic enterprises to some degree. The independent R&D investments have been the most important factors of innovation abilities. Technology gap measured by the relative labor productivity has a non-linear effect on knowledge spillovers of FDI.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 58-62 [
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3234
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63
Empirical Analysis of RMB Elasticity of Substitution in the East Asian Region——Expansion Research based on the “Portfolio Theory of Money Demand” Model
SHI Jian-xun,YIN Ping,LI Hai-ying
With the start of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area and further Economic Cooperation between the Mainland and Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan regions,the degree of economic integration between China and Asian region is increasingly higher. RMB circulation in the neighboring regions,as well as East Asia expands continually,which enhances the possibility of RMB to be the regional dominant currency greatly. Based on the expansion of the portfolio theory of money demand model,this paper explores currency elasticity of substitution of RMB in East Asian region by analyzing panel data from 2000 to 2011. The results show that RMB has the potential to replace the dollar,which provides strong theoretical support for the RMB regionalization feasibility.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 63-67 [
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3300
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68
The Influencing Factors Analysis on Technological Progress Effects through China’s ODI——Based on Host Countries Perspective
WU Jian-jun
This paper builds the theoretical models on technological progress effects through China’s Outward Direct Investment (ODI) from the host countries perspective by analyzing the influencing factors. The empirical results show that the host countries’ technological innovation capability is the primary factor of affecting Technological progress effects through China’s ODI,while the R&D capital stocks of host countries’ through patent spillover are not the main impact factor.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 68-74 [
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3419
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75
Research on the Heterogeneity and Influencing Factors of Total Factor Productivity in China’s Producer Service Sub-industry
WANG Mei-xia
With the Malmquist productivity index of DEA model,this paper measures the growth rates of total factor productivity (TFP) in China’s producer service sub-industry,and analyses the heterogeneity in its sub-industry and influencing factors of the TFP. Empirical results suggest that producer services TFP in overall level and sub-industry level appear all increasing trend,and demonstrates strong heterogeneous pattern,while it is not obviously converging or expanding to the difference in pitch of all the indicators. The dominant factors leading to TFP growth are combined effects of technical efficiency improvements and technological progress during 1991-2002,and technological progress after 2003. Moreover,the influencing factors such as RD,CON and INDUS act as a positive stimulus to the growth of TFP,except for the factor of OPEN.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 75-79 [
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80
Evidence on Structure Conduct Performance——Hypothesis in Taiwan Financial Holding Industry
YAN Qi-feng,YANG Yao-hong,LIN Wen-he
This study explores relationships among structure,conduct and performance of Taiwan Financial Holding Companies by using SCP model of Industrial Organization theory. During the study period of 2004-2010,14 FHCs are examined by using fixed effect model and random effect model. Empirical results show that mergers and acquisitions (M&A) play a partial intermediation role between diversification and performance. Meanwhile,the results support the Behaviorist school who advocates that conduct is an intermediation which not only affect performance but also be effected by structure.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 80-85 [
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86
The Empirical Analysis of China’s Overseas Intelligence Backflow Influence Factors——Base on Dynamic Panel Data Model
Yang He-qing,Chen Yi-an
The paper researches China’s overseas intelligence return influence factors by analyzing panel dataof 29 provinces of east,central,western regions of 1978-2010 with dynamic panal model. The results showed that overseas talents backflow showed obvious’ ratchet effect; middle east regions’ economic current growth level of overseas talents backflow produce short-term positive effect; Education funds account for the GDP proportion to the increase of overseas talents backflow effect is the east,central,west,“ladder” type in progressive trend; In central and eastern areas,overseas talent returned policy have a positive effect on the overseas talents.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 86-90 [
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91
An Analysis on the Mechanism of the Brand License——Based on the Study of the Licensor’s Brand Credit Degree
YUAN Wen-hua,SUN Yue-yao
From the perspective of brand economics,this paper analyzes the mechanism of the brand license to the licensor by building a model of licensor’s brand credit function and introducing the brand fit coefficient and reverse coefficient. It is found that the brand license will not succeed unless the fit coefficient is much high,the brand credit of the licensor reach a certain level and the quantity of the licensor should controlled in a certain range.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 91-95 [
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2967
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96
Intergenerational Income Mobility in China’s Labor Market
WANG Yan-min,JIN Jin
Intergenerational income mobility reflects equality of opportunity and is mainly measured by intergenerational income elasticity. Because of measurement error and life-cycle bias,the research on intergenerational income elasticity of China differs dramatically. Based on intergenerational data from the Chinese health and nutrition survey,the paper assesses the extent of intergenerational mobility in China by correcting measurement error. It is found that intergenerational income elasticity is around 0.46 with moderate intergenerational mobility.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 96-100 [
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101
Study on Effect Mechanism of Slotting Allowance of Superstore Based on Rebate Mechanism
LI Yu-feng,ZHENG Dong-wei,CHEN Hong-min
This paper researches the influence of rebate mechanism for the sales effort,market prices and final sales based on the sales efficiency by analyzing the factors and function of slotting allowance with rebate mechanism. The optimal rebate proportion and its slotting allowance is discussesed in the case of the manufacturer pricing. It is found that slotting Allowance is not a “zero-sum game” between manufacturers and the supermarket,but a kind of sales incentive and return to large retailers,which will not lower consumer welfare.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 101-106 [
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3668
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107
Study on Online Group Buying Development in China from Customer Perspective
LEI Hong-zhen,LU Huan,SHAO Peng
Current research on Group Purchase is always based on Qualitative research,Although there has been lots of researches on online shopping,but these results can not be fully applicable in this new e-commerce model. From industry analysis,literature research and questionnaire survey,this study builds the structural equation model of customer satisfactions,brand trust and customer loyalty. The result shows that at the present stage,customer satisfactions can not influence customer loyalty directly; brand trust is needed as an intermediary variable. Brand marketing by groupon websites to promote customer satisfactions by delivering brand image to customer,and eventually convert satisfactions to customer loyalty.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 107-112 [
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113
Cross Domain Expertise and the Choice of IT Governance Pattern
GUAN Jie
This paper discusses the relationship between cross-domain talents of staff and the choice of IT governance pattern. It states that: if the business management personnel possesses the cross-domain talents,the firm should adopt the decentralized IT governance pattern; if the business management personnel does not possess the cross-domain talents,the firm should adopt the centralized IT governance pattern; if the IT professionals possesses the cross-domain talents,the firm should adopt the centralized IT governance pattern; if the IT professionals does not possess the cross-domain talents,the firm should adopt the decentralized IT governance pattern; if both have the cross-domain talents,the firm should adopt the mixed IT governance pattern; and the both sides should communicate and collaborate when they all do not have the cross-domain talents.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 113-118 [
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119
TFP、FDI and Urban-rural Income Gap——Based on Empirical Analysis of Provincial Panel Data
LIU Yu-lin,LI Jing
This paper researches the effects of TFP、FDI to the Urban-rural Income Gap by sampling provincial panel data during the period of 1992-2010 with Malmquist index method. It is found that TFP reduces the income gap in eastern region,but enlarge the gap in central and western region. The inverse U-shape curve exists between FDI and Urban-rural income gap with most of provinces in eastern and central region to the right side of the inverse curve and the most of western provinces still in the left side.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 119-124 [
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3724
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125
Does Urban-rural Income Gap Aggravate Environmental Damage?——An Empirical Research Based on China’s Provincial Panel Data
ZHONG Mao-chu,ZHAO Zhi-yong
This paper analyzes the mechanism that income inequality leads to the deterioration of environmental pollution and estimates the relationship between urban-rural income gap and environmental damage by using the 2003-2010 provincial panel data. The empirical analysis,both static estimation and dynamic estimation shows that other than the impact of per capita income,urban-rural income gap has a significant positive impact on pollutant emissions. It is pointed out that narrowing the income gap between urban and rural residents is one of the effective methods to reduce the national wide pollution emission levels.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 125-128 [
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129
A Comparative Study on Corporate Political Behavior of China’s Private and State-Owned Businesses——Use Henan as an Example
LI Lan
Adopting an in-depth interview and questionnaire approach,and using Henan as an example,this paper examines the differences of corporate political behavior between China's private businesses and state-owned corporations. The result shows that comparing with state-owned businesses,private firms are operating under higher pressure from the government. They are more reactive instead of proactive towards government’s behavior; their political actions are less organized,and the continuity of their actions depends on accidental factors such as the political mind of corporate leaders. In addition,private businesses are interacting with public officials through more limited channels than that of state-owned corporations,and heavily rely on third parties’ support. The government has not yet established a serving culture or adopted such an approach to dealing with businesses. They interact with state-owned and private businesses differently and their decision-making process is very often influenced by “guanxi”. This paper concludes that a “clean” and efficient interacting platform between businesses and all levels of China’s government be built,and to achieve business success,firms must improve their skills in government relations management.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 129-134 [
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3060
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135
The Influences of Price Fluctuation of China’s Agricultural Products——Based on a Time Dependent Input-output Price Model
YAO Sheng,ZHOU Ying-heng
This article builds the input-output price model by considering the time lag of price transmission and estimates the influence of fluctuation of agricultural products prices based on input-output table of agribusiness. It reveals how equilibrium can be achieved by sectors of agribusiness and non-agribusiness through price adjustment when agricultural products price rises. As a whole,agricultural products price rise has more influence on sector of agribusiness than non-agribusiness. Among these sectors,agricultural production sector is influenced most.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 135-140 [
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2909
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141
Reason for Fiscal Grant Abuse: Regional Heterogeneity and Difficulty in Performance Evaluation
SONG Xiao-ning, Tong Jian
The paper analyzes fiscal grant use by local government authorities by career concern model. It is found that high regional heterogeneity increase information asymmetry between central and local government on fiscal grant use. As a result,it is difficult for central government to accurately assess the performance of grant and local government stands a chance of abusing fiscal grant. The implicate policy is that fiscal grant must be included in local budget management so that news media and local people's congresses can supervise fiscal grant based on their information advantage.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 141-144 [
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2922
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145
Financial Development,Technological Progress and Economic Growth——Based on Panel VAR Model Dynamic Test
DUAN Jun-shan,WEI You-lan,MA Yu
This paper tests provincial data with the panel VAR empirical methods and dynamic panel robustness. It is found that firstly, our current technology output does not take full advantage of the inducement effect of technological progress; Macro prosperity gives commercial banks good expectation as well as raises the capabilities of enterprise mortgage; however,the number of patents granted doses not enhance the bank credit,the region's economic development and technological progress shows a positive correlation. Secondly,long-term impact of technological progress on economic growth is more significant; economic growth and technological progress exists positive interaction which technological progress has been with the development of self-accumulation mechanism. Thirdly, from the impulse response,short-term financial development does affect the performance of economic growth,currency non-neutral in the short term is established; in short term,the macro-economic climate will affect the commercial bank credit behavior; good economic development can stimulate technology development and investment which bring technological progress,but technological progress may be harm itself because of patent laws and regulations.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 145-149 [
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5162
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150
A Study on the Interest Conflict of Credit Rating Based on the Theory of Reputation
CHEN Xu,SHI Ni,ZHANG Xiao-han
This paper analyzes the rating agencies'orientation between its reputation capital accumulation and the short-term excess profit by the fixed reputation premium model. It is found that reputation mechanism is an effective way to slove the conflicts of interests and ensures the correctness of rating level,which provides a good example for the healthy development of China's rating industry.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 150-155 [
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156
Financial Constraints,IPO Purchasing and Super Offering Financing in the Board of Growth Enterprises Market
ZHOU Xiao-hua,TANG Wen-xiu
The paper theoretically analyzes and empirically tests the relationship between financial constraints of companies before listing on the GEM,IPO purchasing and the rate of over financing. The empirical result indicates that the financing constraints have significant negative influences on the rate of super offering financing,due to the effective pricing mechanism,which restrains the preventive cash holding motivation of enterprisers. Therefore,financing constraints is not the reason of over-fundings. The empirical results shows that the greater the subscription rate deviation of offline and online IPO and the higher effective subscriber number of off-line,the serious IPO super offering.
2013 Vol. 1 (3): 156-160 [
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