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    农户家庭多维贫困的状态转换及影响因素分析 ——来自CFPS微观面板数据的证据
肖攀1, 苏静2, 阎晓萌3
1.湖南省洞庭湖生态经济区建设与发展协同创新中心,湖南 常德 415000;
2.湖南文理学院 经济与管理学院,湖南 常德 415000;
3.德州农工大学 统计系,德克萨斯 休斯顿 77840
    Multidimensional Poverty Transformation and its Influencing Factors in Rural Households ——Evidence from the Data of CFPS
    XIAO Pan1, SU Jing2, YAN Xiaomeng3
1.Collaborative Innovation Center of Construction and Development for Dongting Lake Eco-economic Zone, Changde 415000 ,China;
2.Hunan University of Arts and Sciences, Changde 415000, China;
3.Texas A&M University, Texas, Houston 77840, America
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摘要 采用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)微观面板数据和Logit模型,研究了农户家庭多维贫困的状态转换及其影响因素。结果显示:教育、劳动力就业转移对促进家庭脱贫和抑制家庭陷贫均发挥了积极作用;社会资本能够显著提高农户家庭脱离生活条件贫困、机会贫困及中度贫困的概率,并降低农户家庭陷入此类贫困的概率,但对绝对收入贫困和深度贫困的缓解作用有限;健康人力资本提高能够显著提升收入贫困家庭脱贫的概率;政府补助对农户家庭多维贫困缓解的积极作用未能有效显现;户主年龄对农户家庭脱离收入贫困、机会贫困及深度贫困、中度贫困概率的影响表现出倒U形特征,而对非贫困农户家庭陷贫概率的影响正好相反;户主性别、是否务农和村庄特征变量对农户家庭多维贫困转化的影响存在显著差异;经济增长能够有效缓解收入与生活条件贫困,也在抑制家庭陷贫中发挥了积极作用,但未能找到其缓解家庭机会贫困与深度贫困的稳定的正向支持证据。
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肖攀
苏静
阎晓萌
关键词多维贫困   状态转换   农户家庭   影响因素     
Abstract: Using the data of CFPS and Logit model, this paper studies the influencing factors of multi-dimensional poverty transformation in rural households. The results show that: education and employment transfer of labor force play a key role in promoting households lifting out of poverty and preventing households from falling into poverty. Social capital is good for families to rise out of living, opportunities and medium poverty, but it has no positive effect on absolute and deep poverty. Health is good for getting rid of income poverty. The effect of family size on the transformation of living and opportunity poverty is different. Government subsidies have played no positive role in poverty alleviation. The influence of the age of householder on the transfer of income poverty, opportunity poverty, depth poverty and moderate poverty is characterized by the inverted “U” pattern. The impact on roll-in poverty is just the opposite. The impact of gender of householder, farming or not and village characteristics on multi-dimensional poverty transformation are different. Economic growth promotes income and living poverty alleviation, and prevent households falling into poverty. But there is no positive evidence for it to reduce opportunity and deep poverty.
KeywordsMultidimensional Poverty   State Transition   Rural Households   Influencing Factors     
收稿日期 2018-09-28; 接受日期 ;
基金资助:国家社会科学基金项目(18BMZ122);教育部人文社会科学基金项目(16YJCZH084);湖南省教育厅青年基金项目(16B182);湖南省自然科学基金项目(2018JJ3374)
作者简介: 肖攀(1981— ),男,湖南华容人,博士,副教授,主要从事贫困经济学研究;苏静(1980— ),女,湖南汨罗人,博士,副教授,主要从事计量经济研究;阎晓萌(1994— ),女,山东临沂人,博士研究生,主要从事统计模型研究。
引用本文:   
肖攀, 苏静, 阎晓萌.农户家庭多维贫困的状态转换及影响因素分析 ——来自CFPS微观面板数据的证据[J].  经济经纬, 2020,2: 36-43
XIAO Pan, SU Jing, YAN Xiaomeng.Multidimensional Poverty Transformation and its Influencing Factors in Rural Households ——Evidence from the Data of CFPS[J]  Economic Survey, 2020,V37(2): 36-43
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