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Economic Survey

	2015 Vol.32 Issue.4 Published 2015-07-24

Original article

	1	Vulnerability Assessment of Economic System of Small and Medium-sized Tourist City Along One Belt and One Road ——A Case Study of Dunhuang City
		GUO Xiao-dong, ZHANG Qi-yuan, LI Ying-fei
		Taking Dunhuang city along One Belt and One Road as a case, this paper has analyzed and evaluated the vulnerability of economic system of Dunhuang city quantitatively by constructing vulnerability assessment model and evaluation index system of small and medium-sized tourism cities. The paper revealed the relationship between "sensitivity", "response capacity " and the vulnerability of economic system of Dunhuang city through multiple linear regression, and it also did quantitative analysis about the affecting factors of vulnerability of economic system. The results show that: ①The index of economic system of Dunhuang city has changed with a obvious stage characteristics. In the first stage, all indexes has changed relatively stable, but sensitivity and fragility were gradual decline in the second stage. ② The vulnerability of economic system of Dunhuang city is the accumulation type of endogenous structure, sensitivity have a more significant influence on the fragility.③Education spending accounts for local fiscal expenditure, tourism revenue growth, tourism revenues accounts for GDP, the number of traffic accident and tourism growth elasticity coefficient are the main influencing factors to the economy system vulnerability of Dunhuang city, while GDP per capita, tourism growth elasticity coefficient and disposable income of urban residents are the main obstacle factors for improve coping capacity of economy system.④ Dunhuang city should be to promoting the development of tourism economy continuously in the future, pay more attention to the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure, promoting the development of industrial diversification and the response capacity of economic system vigorously at the same time, so as to improving the sustainable development ability and level of social and economic.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 1-6 [Abstract] ( 2893 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 950KB] ( 1843 )

	7	Analysis on Industrial Structure Transformation and Competitiveness at County Level Based on Shift-Share Analysis Method—— A Case Study of Henan Province
		FAN Xin-sheng, WEI Ling, DOU Ming-shang
		The paper aims to explore transformation of industrial structure at county level in Henan province by using Shift-Share Analysis Method. The results as following are found: ① Mostly counties with higher secondary and tertiary industries growth stay more competitive on the background of increasing industrialization. ②Industrial structure and competitive power at county level are constantly changing, and there are differences among them. For the counties with transformation from traditional agriculture-based to non-agriculture-based, further improving and upgrading of industrial structure is extremely difficult. For the counties that industrialization start relatively earlier, it is difficult to keep staying more industrial structure competitiveness without continuous improvement and up-grade of industrial structure. And counties with rapidly growth in tourist industry, characteristic agriculture and mental mining industry have been gaining their competitiveness against the others. ③The spatial "hot spot" and "cold spot" of economic growth in Henan province are found. The counties with rising industrial competitive power are in the obviously centralized distribution in the west Henan province while the counties with declining industrial competitive power in the west-north Henan province. Most of counties with unchanging industrial competitive power mainly are distributed in the east Henan province plain. So diversity of industrial structure at county level is increasing. And counties with specialty industry such as characteristic agriculture can also enhance its industrial structure competitiveness, just as counties with higher secondary and tertiary industries growth do. Meanwhile the spatial pattern of industrial structure competitiveness indicates there is a substantial spatial correlation among economic growth at county level.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 7-12 [Abstract] ( 3461 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 1259KB] ( 1645 )

	13	A Study on the Relationship between Energy Consumption, Factor Input and Economic Growth for the Northeast Three Provinces of China
		ZHU Tian-xing, SONG Yong-hui, SONG Li
		It is of great significant to study the role of production elements in regional economic growth, especially the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for formulating policies about regional development and energy coordination. The paper studies long-term equilibrium and short-term adjustment relationships between economic growth, energy consumption and factor inputs of the three northeast provinces in China, using economic growth and energy consumption, capital and labor inputs data from 1980 to 2012, in the framework of production function, through controlling autocorrelation within groups and heteroscedasticity between groups of panel datum employing panel PASE estimation and panel causality test model. Results showed that: (1) There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between inputs, the output elasticity of capital, labor and energy consumption were 0.439, 0.311, 0.247. (2) The total factor energy efficiency appears inverted logistic feature and there exists uni-directional causality running from energy consumption to economic growth. (3) The paper puts forward some suggestions about improving energy efficiency, strengthening energy cooperation, speeding up the adjustment of industrial structure, vigorously developing the tertiary industry, etc.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 13-18 [Abstract] ( 2530 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 793KB] ( 1558 )

	19	An Empirical Study of the Relationships between Financial Expenditure, Urbanization and Economic Growth in Western China
		YUAN Dan, LEI Hong-zhen
		According to the data during 1993-2011, the paper does an empirical analysis about the dynamic relationships between financial expenditure, urbanization and economic growth in western China by using a VAR model, and it also analyzes the long run co-integration relationship. It concludes that: (1) Three variables together are the Granger cause to any one of them. (2) In the short term, economic growth is positively influenced by urbanization with a bigger coefficient of the third lagged of urbanization, and gives a slower positive response to the impulse of urbanization. Urbanization is mainly influenced by economic growth, and gives a quicker positive response to the impulse of economic growth. It also influenced by the third lagged of financial expenditure positively. (3) Financial expenditure, urbanization and economic growth have the long-term co-integration relationships, and urbanization promotes economic growth in western China.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 19-24 [Abstract] ( 2626 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 1178KB] ( 1597 )

	25	Inequality in Employment, Difference in Returns to Education and the Urban-rural Wage Gap
		YE Guang
		Using the data from a survey covering 31 China’s provinces in 2012, we have estimated the return to education of urban and rural labors employed in urban areas, and then discussed the reason for difference between urban and rural return to education and the problem of the urban-rural wage gap in urban labor markets, by distinguishing the impact of human capital and employment inequality on returns to education. The result indicates that: (1) The return to education in rural China would be seriously underestimated when the nonrandom sample selection was ignored, and accordingly the corrected urban-rural wage gap was much smaller than the uncorrected one. (2) The difference between urban and rural return to education and the urban-rural wage gap were mainly result from the inequality in employment, and the difference between human capital of urban and rural labors was not obvious. (3) Hence, in order to reduce the difference between urban and rural return to education, and then improve education in rural areas, it’s necessary to perfect the labor market system and eliminate the inequality in employment induced by family background.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 25-30 [Abstract] ( 2491 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 1036KB] ( 1758 )

	31	The Empirical Analysis of Farmers Bargaining Power’s Influence on Agricultural Products’ Sale Price
		ZHU Ning, MA Ji
		This paper uses the survey data of Shandong fruit vegetables farmers to analyze household bargaining power and its influence on the effect of farmers to participate in the negotiation behavior from the perspective of consciousness, ability and behavior. Research results show that: (1) Farmers bargaining power is significantly affected by householder's level of education, ability to get market information, the ability of judged the market information, join cooperatives and time to market of fruit vegetables. (2) The farmers bargaining power can significantly affect the farmers to participate in the bargaining behavior, namely the higher bargaining power of household, the possibility of greater participation in the negotiation. (3) Farmers' participation in bargaining, the key factor of agricultural product price increase is household bargaining ability. Based on this, this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to improve farmers' bargaining power and bargaining participation.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 31-36 [Abstract] ( 2173 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 858KB] ( 1652 )

	37	Based on Factor Analysis-BP(Back Propagation) Neural NetworkEvaluation Study on Benefit of Ecological Agriculture of Henan province
		WANG Xiao-fang
		Using the method of factor analysis, the author generalizes the elements that affect the comprehensive benefit of eco-agriculture into comprehensive ability factor, balance function factor and sustainable ability factor. Afterwards, the author builds a model of BP neural network to stimulate an inspection using index and data of the eighteen cities of Henan province, and then rank their benefit of eco-agriculture according to the scores of comprehensive stimulation. Then there comes the result that comprehensive ability factor would have the most impact on the benefit of eco-agriculture. Therefore, in order to actively promote the development of eco-agriculture, the government should start with increasing the input-output ratio of economy, speeding up the transfer of the rural surplus laborers, making a high per capita net income and comprehensive production ability of eco-agriculture, and so on.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 37-42 [Abstract] ( 2492 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 970KB] ( 1719 )

	43	Why RMB Appreciation and China’s Trade Surplus Expansion HaveCoexisted for A Long Time?——An Analysis Based on the Sunk Costs-Model Considering the Way of the Trade
		YE Fang, DU Chao-yun
		From the perspective of the supply, considering the sunk costs of the firm and the special situation of China's trade, the paper makes a model learned from the two sunk costs-models proposed by Dixit. It also introduces the variables that describe the way of the trade in the model. Then an exchange rate band of no change is derived to explain why there is no decrease but increase in China's trade surplus while the RMB appreciates .The results show that reducing the company's sunk costs, changing the way of trade and adding the value of products to increase the sensitivity of trade to the exchange rate, rather than to emphasize the appreciation of the RMB, are important to reduce the current trade surplus.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 43-48 [Abstract] ( 2066 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 808KB] ( 1476 )

	49	Analysis on the Fluctuation of China Grain Import Based on the CMS Model
		WANG Rong-hua, ZENG Fu-sheng
		Through CMS model, this paper analyzes the influential factors of our country's grain import fluctuation after the accession to the WTO. The results show: (1) The import gravity is the main factor to the fluctuation of our country's grain import, and the structural effect also has great influence on it. (2) During the transition period of joining the WTO, the import gravity was the main source of the growth of our grain import; during the wandering period, the structural effect by the changes of world grain market became the main cause of the import fluctuation of our country. (3) Since the financial crisis, the import gravity, together with the structural effect, have been stimulating the increase of our grain import, but both the market structure effect and commodity structure effect are not significant. It is necessary to strengthen the macro management of grain import, to stabilize the import source and to adjust the import variety structure of grain, and to speed up the perfection of our country's technical measure system in grain trade.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 49-53 [Abstract] ( 2225 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 893KB] ( 1791 )

	54	The Theoretical and Empirical Research on the Impact of Internet on International Trade
		HE Yong,CHEN Xin-guang
		As Internet technology matures,Internet-based e-commerce model is widely used among global trade.In this context,this paper took iceberg costs as the starting point to introduce the Internet factor into the international trade model,and establish panel data models based on the global 244 countries’ data from 2000 to 2010.Both theoretical derivation and empirical research had concluded that:the Internet have a positive impact on import trade volume,export trade volume and total volume,and with rising income levels,the impact of the Internet on the import volume gradually weakened,the impact on export volume gradually enhanced.At last,the paper suggested that governments and businesses should pay more attention on the influence of the Internet on international trade,promote the Internet infrastructure and e-commerce applications vigorously,and promote the rapid development of international trade.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 54-60 [Abstract] ( 2890 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 759KB] ( 1959 )

	61	The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) of Chinese Enterprises——An Empirical Study Based on the Size
		YU Guan-sheng,YANG Wen
		As enterprises’ FDI gradually becomes the major trend in the context of China's opening up,the government has rolled out promotion policies intensively in recent years,which makes the study about the domestic determinants of foreign direct investment provides meaningful information and recommendations for the relevant policy-making authority .Therefore this paper takes these as an opportunity to study how the domestic economy makes a difference to China's foreign direct investment scale and the number of investment projects based on China's economic development,labor,technology and international trade and other factors.This paper has found that the number of foreign direct investment projects and investment scale could simultaneously increase with the economic development,the optimization of industry structure,the rising cost of labor,reducing the stock of human capital and technological progress and other factors.While the effects caused by international trade are more complicated,export trade is helpful to reduce the scale of investment during,and import trade is helpful to increase the scale of foreign direct investment.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 61-66 [Abstract] ( 2838 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 698KB] ( 1569 )

	67	Environmental Regulation,Dual Effects of Industrial Changes and Employment
		ZHANG Xian-feng,WANG Rui,ZHANG Qing-cai
		The paper analyzes the impact that environmental regulation’s industrial upgrading and transfer effects have on employment scale and structure,and then tests it through the GMM method with provincial panel data in China from 2001 to 2011.The results show that without any consideration of the dual effects,the environmental regulation will decrease regional employment scale and not promote the growth of the highly skilled personnel.When they are taken into account,industrial upgrading effect does not increase the employment scale,but it gets the number of the highly skilled personnel raised;industrial transfer effect,as a whole,boosts the employment scale and drives the need of skilled labor nationwide,however,the area of origin meets the situation the other way round.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 67-72 [Abstract] ( 2533 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 852KB] ( 1842 )

	73	The Influence of Reciprocity Mechanism on the Efficiency of Incomplete Contract
		YUAN Zhuo-qun,QIN Hai-ying,YANG Hui-chao
		In our paper,we carry out a market transactions experiment in an incomplete contracting environment and study how reciprocity mechanism can influence contract efficiency and behavior of contracting man.We obtain two major conclusions:(1) Reciprocity mechanism can significantly improve the efficiency of contract,and it is more compatible to variable price contract.(2) The contracting men show a solid social preference,such as risk aversion and unfair aversion.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 73-78 [Abstract] ( 2064 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 953KB] ( 2205 )

	79	Distribution Dynamic and its Spatial Dependence of Industrial Structure in China
		ZHOU Di,CHENG Hui-ping
		Based on the distribution of dynamic theory,adding the GIS visualization and spatial factors,the paper makes a research on the dynamic evolution of the distribution and its spatial dependence of industrial structure at the provincial level in China.The conclusions are as follows:(1) Kernel density estimation shows that the level of China’s industrial structure is constantly shrinking while regional differences are shrinking,convergence trend is obvious.(2) In 1978-1994,the development of industrial structure shows convergence characteristics,part of the region caught in a “low industrial structure trap”.(3) The development of China’s industrial structure is not independent in space,neighbors with high levels can promote the level of industrial better.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 79-84 [Abstract] ( 2438 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 909KB] ( 1476 )

	85	Political Connections and Real Estate Price——Evidences from Real Estate Listed Companies in China
		LIU Hui-huang,LIU Yan-guang
		The Chinese real estate bubble will have serious negative impacts on both economy and society.Apart from high cost and overheating demand,political connection may also be an important factor affecting real estate prices.Based on real estate prices decision model containing political connection and 2002-2012 real estate listed companies’ panel data,this paper examines the impact of political connections on real estate prices.This paper finds that political connections have positive impacts on corporate finance and the positive impacts have different forms in real estate firms of different ownership.Political connections have not only direct impacts on real estate prices,but also indirect impacts on real estate prices through land supply plan and fiscal and financial policies.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 85-90 [Abstract] ( 2422 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 1016KB] ( 2142 )

	91	Do Political Connections Affect the Compensation Gap between Managers and Employees?
		GUO Jian-hua
		The compensation gap between managers and employees of enterprises directly influences the fairness of macro income distribution.Based on the background that the private enterprises actively establish political connection with the government,this paper manually collects the data of political connections and empirically examines the effect of political connection on the compensation gap between managers and employees.It is found that the gap in politically connected enterprises is significantly bigger than that in non-politically connected enterprises and the difference is more as the institutional environment becomes worse.The results show that political connection is an important factor that influences the compensation gap between managers and employees,which is helpful to execute the “more fair” income distribution policy.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 91-96 [Abstract] ( 2441 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 788KB] ( 2175 )

	97	Biased Technological Progress,Labor Structure and Industry Wage Gap
		ZHONG Shi-chuan
		This paper builds a theoretical framework for biased technological progress,labor structure and wage inequality according to the CES production function,and estimates its econometric equation system for Chinese industry over period 1987-2011.The analysis results show that the relationship of skilled labor and unskilled labor is alternative.The industrial technological progress is biased skilled labor,and the most obvious is the non-metal products industry.Meanwhile,the structure of labor and trade liberalization helps narrow the wage gap.Skill-biased technological progress,foreign direct investment and capital deepening can expand the wage gap.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 97-102 [Abstract] ( 1996 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 1137KB] ( 1858 )

	103	Supply Chain Coordination under Revenue-sharing Contract with Manufacturer’s Effort Dependent Demand
		PANG Qing-hua
		The paper studies the impact of the manufacturer’s effort on the coordination of revenue-sharing contract based on three-level supply chain.The result shows that the manufacturer has a unique advantage in product design,manufacturing etc.,and its effort can improve the product sales.In the end,the paper uses a numerical example to illustrate the model.It provides a new way to reduce the “double marginalization” on the efficiency of the supply chain and improve the level of work activities of the supply chain members.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 103-108 [Abstract] ( 2025 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 796KB] ( 1420 )

	109	The Research on the Driving Factors of Technological Innovation Based on System Dynamics Model
		OU Shao-hua, HU Yu-song
		Based on the annual data of the electronics and communication equipment manufacture industry, the paper analyzes the composition and relationship of enterprises techno-innovation dynamics elements by system dynamic model. The research results show that: the intensity of driving force in the enterprise technology innovation can be affected directly by effectiveness of the output of technical innovation. Government support, cooperative innovation, technical talents have positive correlation with the output of technical innovation. Therefore, it is necessary for the government and technical talents work together to promote enterprise technology innovation.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 109-113 [Abstract] ( 2536 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 1842KB] ( 1727 )

	114	Supply Chain Optimization of Emission Reduction Based on Transfer Payment under Carbon Tax System
		XIA Liang-jie, HAO Wang-qiang, WU Meng-jiao
		Consider a supply chain with one supplier and one manufacturer. The government imposes carbon tax for firms’ carbon emission. The carbon footprint affects product demand. In this context, the paper analyzes the emission reduction decisions of the supplier and the manufacturer, discusses the jointly emission reduction between them with transfer payment contract. Also, the paper explores the impact of some parameters on firms’ emission reduction decisions and profits. The results show: (1) By improving its emission reduction level or providing transfer payment for the supplier, the manufacturer can encourage the supplier to improve its emission reduction level. (2) Jointly emission reduction is effective for optimizing the production carbon footprint and the Pareto improvement of the supply chain profit. (3) The transfer payment factor has nothing to do with the firms’ emission reduction cost factors. (4) The firms’ emission reduction levels increase with carbon tax rate, while the emission reduction increments resulted from jointly emission reduction decrease.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 114-120 [Abstract] ( 2795 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 1967KB] ( 1866 )

	121	Female Executives, Macroeconomic Environment and Cash Holdings
		ZHOU Ze-jiang, XIU Zong-feng
		Using A-share listed companies in China’s capital market from 2001 to 2012 as sample, this article empirically analyzes the impact of female executives on cash holdings. The results show that female executives increases cash holdings significantly, and when listed companies are in a good macroeconomic environment, promotion effect of female executives on cash holdings declines distinctly. The research enhances comprehensions on economic consequence of risk aversion among female executives in realistic society.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 121-125 [Abstract] ( 2956 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 685KB] ( 2661 )

	126	An Empirical Study on Economic Growth, Industrial Structure and the Carbon Emissions——Based on PVAR Model
		TAO Chang-qi, PENG Yong-zhang, JU Ze-xia
		Based on the mechanism of action, this paper presents a PVAR model among economic growth, industrial structure and carbon emissions based on the sample data of China during the period of 1995 to 2011. By means of the impulse response function and variance decomposition method, it is found that: (1) There is a long-run equilibrium relationships among economic growth, industrial structure and carbon emissions. (2) Asymmetrical relationship exists between economic growth and carbon emissions, economic growth is an important factor that affects carbon emissions, but carbon emission is not the motivation of economic growth in the long-run. (3) Bi-directional dynamic relationship exists between industrial structure and carbon emissions, industrial structure is an important factor that affects carbon emissions, and in the long-run the change of carbon emissions is conducive to promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 126-131 [Abstract] ( 3019 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 763KB] ( 1823 )

	132	The Influence of Economic Growth on the Human Capital Based on System Dynamics in Chinese Provinces
		ZHANG Xu, CHEN Xi-lan, LU Jin
		Based on system dynamics, the paper builds a systematic model of both economic growth and human capital. Then it examines the applicability of system dynamics in the relationship between human capital and economic growth, and verifies the rationality of the constructed system from the two aspects of theory and practice to comprehensively analyze economic growth effects on the human capital level. Based on this, the paper also analyzes the economic growth effect on the path of the human capital characteristics and impact strength using the data of 31 provinces in China from 1982 to 2012. Results show that the influence degree of the economic growth on human capital is put in bigger difference in provinces, the eastern region is roughly a downward trend, the northeast is very smooth, and the situation of the central region and western region is more complicated.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 132-137 [Abstract] ( 2358 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 2473KB] ( 1488 )

	138	Dynamic Interrelations, Information Transfer among Domestic and Overseas RMB Exchange Rates and Its Implications
		MA Zheng-bing
		This paper makes positive study of dynamic interrelations and information transfer among domestic and overseas RMB exchange rates by a cross-spectral analysis of the RMB exchange rate against the U.S. dollar from July 2005 to September 2012.The empirical evidences suggest that dynamic interrelations among domestic and overseas RMB exchange rate depend not only on the length of the observation periods also on the term of the forward foreign exchange rates. The longer the observation period, the higher the coherence of the dynamic interrelation between the RMB exchange rate in the domestic and foreign currency becomes. So reforming of the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism needs to handle well the relationships of developing domestic NDF and pushing the internationalization of RMB, developing domestic forward exchange rate markets and promoting the development of foreign exchange derivatives, promoting the marketization of RMB exchange rate and interest rate, official appreciation or amplitude control for response to the expectation of RMB appreciation.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 138-143 [Abstract] ( 2206 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 752KB] ( 1570 )

	144	Collectivism Atmosphere and Residents’ Financial Assets Allocation Heterogeneity
		CHAI Shi-jun,WANG Cong, CHEN Jian-fu
		Does collectivism atmosphere affect residents’ financial assets allocation using China household finance survey data in 2011, this paper find that Family’ collectivism atmosphere promoted residents to participate in stock, fund, foreign exchange, and had significant negative influence on the risk-free assets investment such as cash and bank deposit. Further study shows that collectivism atmosphere has significant positive influence on the total amount of residents’ financial assets, but for each quantile family, presents the obvious heterogeneity. Relative to the poor families, degree of collectivism atmosphere affects residents’ financial investment behavior more deeply for wealthy families.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 144-148 [Abstract] ( 2336 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 743KB] ( 2587 )

	149	The Incidence of the Enterprise Income Tax in China——A General Equilibrium Analysis of Two Departments
		ZHAO Yun-hui, WANG Peng-fei
		This paper analyzes the incidence of the enterprise income tax in China through the method of a general equilibrium analysis and the latest industry data. We calculate the substitution elasticity of production factors and the substitution elasticity of production demands according to the status in our country. This paper analyzes China’s corporate income tax burden and sensitivity. The results show that owners of capital bear 77% of the tax burden, and owners of labor bear the rest of the tax. In view of Chinese capital tax easily passed on to labor, this research puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 149-154 [Abstract] ( 2123 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 810KB] ( 1904 )

	155	Research on Sustainability and Influencing Factors of the Basic Old-age Insurance for Enterprise Employees——Based on Provincial Panel Data
		MA Guang-bo, ZHAO Li-jiang
		This paper, using panel data of China’s 31 provinces from 2001 to 2011, establishes entity random effects regression model based on panel data theory to research on the sustainability and influencing factors of the basic old-age insurance for enterprise employees from the population aspect of the system coverage. The analysis conclusions indicate that the growth rate of number of contributors, the growth rate of number of pensioners and fund rate have significant influence on the sustainability of basic old-age insurance for enterprise employees.
		2015 Vol. 32 (4): 155-160 [Abstract] ( 2476 ) [HTML 1KB] [ PDF 812KB] ( 1664 )

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