Vulnerability Assessment of Economic System of Small and Medium-sized Tourist City Along One Belt and One Road ——A Case Study of Dunhuang City
GUO Xiao-dong1, ZHANG Qi-yuan2, LI Ying-fei1
(1.School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China; 2.School of Management, Harbin University of Science and Technology, Harbin 150080, China)
Abstract Taking Dunhuang city along One Belt and One Road as a case, this paper has analyzed and evaluated the vulnerability of economic system of Dunhuang city quantitatively by constructing vulnerability assessment model and evaluation index system of small and medium-sized tourism cities. The paper revealed the relationship between "sensitivity", "response capacity " and the vulnerability of economic system of Dunhuang city through multiple linear regression, and it also did quantitative analysis about the affecting factors of vulnerability of economic system. The results show that: ①The index of economic system of Dunhuang city has changed with a obvious stage characteristics. In the first stage, all indexes has changed relatively stable, but sensitivity and fragility were gradual decline in the second stage. ② The vulnerability of economic system of Dunhuang city is the accumulation type of endogenous structure, sensitivity have a more significant influence on the fragility.③Education spending accounts for local fiscal expenditure, tourism revenue growth, tourism revenues accounts for GDP, the number of traffic accident and tourism growth elasticity coefficient are the main influencing factors to the economy system vulnerability of Dunhuang city, while GDP per capita, tourism growth elasticity coefficient and disposable income of urban residents are the main obstacle factors for improve coping capacity of economy system.④ Dunhuang city should be to promoting the development of tourism economy continuously in the future, pay more attention to the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure, promoting the development of industrial diversification and the response capacity of economic system vigorously at the same time, so as to improving the sustainable development ability and level of social and economic.
GUO Xiao-Dong,ZHANG Qi-Yuan,LI Ying-Fei. Vulnerability Assessment of Economic System of Small and Medium-sized Tourist City Along One Belt and One Road ——A Case Study of Dunhuang City. Economic Survey, 2015, 31(4): 01.
2015, Vol. 31 
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