An Empirical Study on Economic Growth, Industrial Structure and the Carbon Emissions——Based on PVAR Model
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Abstract Based on the mechanism of action, this paper presents a PVAR model among economic growth, industrial structure and carbon emissions based on the sample data of China during the period of 1995 to 2011. By means of the impulse response function and variance decomposition method, it is found that: (1) There is a long-run equilibrium relationships among economic growth, industrial structure and carbon emissions. (2) Asymmetrical relationship exists between economic growth and carbon emissions, economic growth is an important factor that affects carbon emissions, but carbon emission is not the motivation of economic growth in the long-run. (3) Bi-directional dynamic relationship exists between industrial structure and carbon emissions, industrial structure is an important factor that affects carbon emissions, and in the long-run the change of carbon emissions is conducive to promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.
DAO Chang-Qi,BANG Yong-Zhang,JU Ze-Xia. An Empirical Study on Economic Growth, Industrial Structure and the Carbon Emissions——Based on PVAR Model. Economic Survey, 2015, 31(4): 0126.
2015, Vol. 31 
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