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    经济经纬 2015 Issue (5) :67-72
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    文化产品贸易与经济增长的关系研究——基于时间序列模型的分析
    胡妍妍
    中原文化艺术学院 影视艺术系,河南 郑州 450000
    An Analysis of the Relationship between Cultural Trade and Economic Growth——Based on Time Series Model
    HU Yan-yan
    Department of Cinematic Arts,Zhongyuan College of Culture and Arts,Zhengzhou 450000,China
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摘要 笔者利用2000年~2013年文化产品进出口数据,构建向量自回归模型,实证分析文化产品贸易与经济增长之间的长期动态关系。研究结果表明文化产品进口和文化产品出口是影响我国经济增长的原因,且文化产品贸易对我国经济增长具有明显滞后效应;但经济增长对文化产品贸易影响不显著。我国应积极发展文化创意和设计服务等文化创新产业,促进与相关产业深度融合,鼓励中小企业进入文化产业,加快文化产品“走出去”步伐,通过打造特色文化,提高文化产品国际竞争力。
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胡妍妍
关键词文化产品贸易   经济增长   向量自回归模型     
Abstract: Cultural trade is an important part of international trade and has a significant effect on a country’s economic growth.This paper illustrates the influential mechanism between cultural trade and economic growth,then using the data from 2000 to 2013 to construct a vector autoregression model to demonstrate long-run dynamic relationship between cultural trade and economic growth.The results show that cultural import and cultural export can affect economic growth,and cultural trade has a lagging effect on economic growth.However,economic growth has no significant effect on cultural trade.According,the paper suggests that it is needed,to promoting the development of cultural innovation industry including cultural creation and designing;to facilitate the integration with related industry;to encourage small corporations’ entry into cultural industry;to accelerate “going out” of cultural goods and to improve cultural goods’ international competitiveness by developing featured products.
KeywordsCultural Trade   Economic Growth   Vector Autoregression Model     
收稿日期 2014-12-21; 接受日期 2015-09-18;
作者简介: 胡妍妍(1972-),女,河南漯河人,研究生,副教授,主要从事文化产业研究。
引用本文:   
胡妍妍.文化产品贸易与经济增长的关系研究——基于时间序列模型的分析[J].  经济经纬, 2015,5: 67-72
HU Yan-yan.An Analysis of the Relationship between Cultural Trade and Economic Growth——Based on Time Series Model[J]  Economic Survey, 2015,V32(5): 67-72
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http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/     或     http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2015/V32/I5/67
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