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    经济经纬 2013 Issue (4) :134-138
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    我国公共支出结构经济增长效应的实证研究
    朱迎春
    上海立信会计学院财税学院,上海201620
    An Empirical Study on the Economic Growth Effects of the Public Expenditure Structure of China
    ZHU Ying-chun
    School of Finance and Taxation, Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce, Shanghai 201620, China
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摘要 笔者基于1978年~2010年的时间序列数据,运用VAR模型和VEC模型等计量分析工具实证研究我国公共支出结构的经济增长效应。研究结果表明,公共投资性支出短期内有利于经济增长,长期对经济增长产生负效应;政府行政支出短期内有利于经济增长,长期会抑制经济增长;文教科卫支出具有可持续的经济增长效应;财政转移性支出长期看能对经济增长产生正效应,但贡献率较低。因此,有必要优化公共投资性支出结构,提高政府行政支出效率,加大文教科卫支出和财政转移性支出的投入力度,促进经济良性增长。
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朱迎春
关键词公共支出结构   经济增长   协整分析   动态分析     
Abstract: This paper empirically researches the economic growth effects of the public expenditure structure by analyzing the time series data from 1978 to 2010 with VAR, VEC. The results indicate: the public investment expenditures have positive effect on economic growth in a short run, but it will produce negative effect in a long run; the government administrative expenditures will be conducive to economic growth in the short run, but it will restrain economic growth in a long run; the public expenditures on culture, education, science and health have sustainable economic growth effects; the fiscal transfer payments have a positive effect on economic growth in a long run, but its contribution rate is lower. Therefore, it is necessary to optimize the public investment expenditure structure, improve the efficiency of government administrative expenditures, and increase the expenditures on culture, education, science, health and fiscal transfer payments to promote economic sustainable growth.
KeywordsPublic Expenditure Structure   Economic Growth   Cointegration Analysis   Dynamic Analysis     
收稿日期 2013-07-18; 接受日期 2013-07-18;
基金资助:上海市教育委员会科研创新项目(12YS148);上海高校青年教师培养资助计划优秀青年教师项目(shlx003);上海立信会计学院资助项目(FXNB1110)。
作者简介: 朱迎春(1978-),女,云南玉溪人,经济学博士,上海立信会计学院讲师,主要从事财税理论与政策研究。
引用本文:   
朱迎春.我国公共支出结构经济增长效应的实证研究[J].  经济经纬, 2013,4: 134-138
ZHU Ying-chun.An Empirical Study on the Economic Growth Effects of the Public Expenditure Structure of China[J]  Economic Survey, 2013,V1(4): 134-138
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