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    经济经纬 2012 Issue (1) :103-107
    三农研究 最新目录 | 下期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
    粮食生产弱质性及其经济效应
    张书海1, 郭梦瑶2
    (1.河南工业大学 管理学院,河南 郑州450001; 2.中国农业大学 国际学院,北京 100083)
    Weakness of Grain Yielding Industry and Its Influence on National Economy
    ZHANG Shu hai1, GUO Meng yao2
    (1.School of Management, Henan University of Technology, Zhengzhou 450001, China; 2.International School, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China)
摘要
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摘要 现有文献大多是定性地分析粮食生产弱质性的原因,并把弱质性视为粮食生产永恒不变的特性。笔者以相对劳动生产率系数作为粮食生产弱质性的测量指标,计算分析了1978年以来我国粮食生产弱质性程度的变化趋势及其对经济增长和经济结构转变的影响。研究发现,我国粮食生产弱质性程度的长期变化趋势取决于国家经济结构转型战略,局部波动则主要由政府粮食政策的调整引起;粮食生产弱质性程度与粮食生产经济拉动效应中度负相关;粮食生产弱质性与第一产业比重高度负相关,与第二产业比重没有显著线性相关关系,与第三产业比重高度正相关;粮食生产弱质性对我国经济增长和经济结构调整都有较为显著的影响。
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张书海
郭梦瑶
关键词粮食生产弱质性   相对劳动生产率系数   经济增长   经济结构     
Abstract: Most of the current literature focus on qualitative analysis of the reasons for the weakness of grain yielding industry and consider weakness as the unchangeable attribute of grain yielding industry. The author used relative labor productivity coefficient as the indicator of the weakness of grain yielding, calculated and analyzed the trend of the change in the weakness of grain yielding industry in China since 1978 and its influence on economic growth and economic structure transformation. The findings show that the long term trend of the weakness of grain yielding industry in China is mainly determined by national structural transformation strategy and its local fluctuation is affected by the adjustment of national grain policy; the degree of the weakness of grain yielding industry is moderately negatively related to the pull effect of grain yielding on economy; the weakness of grain yielding industry is highly negatively related to the proportion of the primary industry, has no significant linear correlation with the proportion of the second industry, and is highly positively related to the proportion of the tertiary industry. The weakness of grain yielding industry has significant influence on the economic growth and economic structure adjustment in China.
Keywords weakness of grain yielding industry   relative labor productivity coefficient   economic growth   economic structure     
收稿日期 2011-07-29; 接受日期 2012-01-13;
基金资助:河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2009BJJ008);国家软科学项目(2010GXS5D234);河南省软科学项目(0513023200);河南省高校青年骨干教师资助计划项目(2010GGJS-084);河南省教育厅自然科学研究项目(2010A630022)。
作者简介: 张书海(1973-),男,河南禹州人,河南工业大学管理学院副教授,上海大学管理学院博士研究生,主要从事粮食安全研究。
引用本文:   
张书海, 郭梦瑶.粮食生产弱质性及其经济效应[J].  经济经纬, 2012,1: 103-107
ZHANG Shu hai, GUO Meng yao.Weakness of Grain Yielding Industry and Its Influence on National Economy[J]  Economic Survey, 2012,V(1): 103-107
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http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/     或     http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2012/V/I1/103
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