外商直接投资与农村剩余劳动力转移—

摘要基于复杂网络视角,运用复杂社会网络分析方法,对外商直接投资和农村剩余劳动力之间的空间网络关联关系进行实证检验。研究结果发现:中国农村剩余劳动力转移和FDI在空间上是“普遍联系”的,且两个网络在网络通达性、中心区域方面具有很多相似的特征。虽然中国农村剩余劳动力转移和外商直接投资空间关联网络的紧密程度总体上并不高,但其具有稳定性和多重叠加性,分别存在223个和268个空间关联关系。QAP回归结果表明:外商直接投资以及地理位置邻接性对农村剩余劳动力转移的空间关联和空间溢出有显著的正向影响,其具有“近水楼台先得月”的效应。研究结论为客观评估FDI对东道国农村剩余劳动力转移的影响提供了一个来自转型发展中国家的证据,对劳动力市场政策的调整具有重要的政策含义。

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关键词：外商直接投资空间关联复杂网络农村剩余劳动力

Abstract： Based on the perspective of complex network, this paper uses complex social network analysis to test the spatial network association between foreign direct investment and redundant rural labor force. The results show that, the transfer of redundant rural labor force in China and FDI are “universally connected” in space, and the two networks have many similar characteristics in terms of network accessibility and central area. Although the overall level of space association network between redundant rural labor force and foreign direct investment is not high but stability and multiple overlapping of it, respectively has 223 and 268 spatial relations. The QAP regression results show that, FDI and the adjacency of geographic location has a significant positive impact on the spatial correlation and spatial spillover effect of redundant rural labor force, which has effect of “First come, first served.” This paper provides an evidence for the transition from developing countries to objectively evaluate the impact of foreign direct investment in the host country for the transfer of redundant rural labor force, also has important policy implications for the future adjustment of China labor market policy.

Keywords： Foreign Direct Investment Spatial Correlation Complex Network Redundant Rural Labor Force

收稿日期 2018-09-17; 接受日期 ;

基金资助:国家社会科学基金青年项目(16CJL023);河南财经政法大学青年拔尖人才资助计划(hncjzfdxqnbjrc201710)

通讯作者 赵德昭(1986— ),男,河南平顶山人,博士,副教授,主要从事农村经济研究

作者简介: 祝鹏飞(1987— ),男,贵州贵阳人,博士,高级经济师,主要从事公共经济学研究;吴钢(1985— ),男,湖南怀化人,博士,副教授,主要从事复杂网络研究。

引用本文:

祝鹏飞, 赵德昭, 吴钢.外商直接投资与农村剩余劳动力转移——基于复杂网络视角[J]. 经济经纬, 2020,1: 68-76

ZHU Pengfei, ZHAO Dezhao, WU Gang.Foreign Direct Investment and Redundant Rural Labor Force ——Based on the Perspective of Complex Network[J] Economic Survey, 2020,V37(1): 68-76

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2020/V37/I1/68

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