FDI、OFDI对出口产品质量的影响研究

摘要采用面板平滑转换回归模型(PSTR)在非线性框架下考察外商直接投资、对外直接投资对出口产品质量的影响。研究发现:(1)非线性模型比线性模型更适用于FDI、OFDI与出口产品质量的变动关系研究。(2)FDI和OFDI对出口产品质量具有显著的提升作用,而且OFDI的提升作用要大于FDI。(3)人民币实际汇率对出口产品质量的影响偏向于短期性并且呈显著的非线性正向影响。另外,出口目的国GDP的影响偏向于长期影响,外商直接投资介于长短期之间。因此,政府应该继续坚持“引进来”和“走出去”并重的战略,即通过税收优惠、简化审批程序等方式来扩大“引进来”和“走出去”的规模,以达到两者合力促进中国出口产品质量升级的目的。

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关键词：外商直接投资对外直接投资出口产品质量面板平滑转换回归模型

Abstract： In this paper, the panel smooth transition regression model (PSTR) is used to investigate the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) on the quality of export products under the nonlinear framework. The research finds that: 1)The nonlinear model is more suitable for the study of the relationship between FDI, OFDI and export product quality than the linear model. 2)FDI and OFDI have a highly stable and significant improvement effect on the quality of export products, and the promotion effect of OFDI is greater than that of FDI. 3)The impact of RMB real exchange rate on the quality of export products tends to be short-term and has a significant nonlinear positive impact. In addition, the impact of GDP in export destination countries tend to be long-term, and that of foreign direct investment is somewhere in between. Therefore, studies have shown that the government should continue to adhere to both the “bringing in” and “going global” strategies. Specifically methods such as tax incentives and simplification of approval procedures should be taken to expand the scales of “bringing in” and “going global” so as to jointly promote the quality upgrade of China’s export products.

Keywords： Foreign Direct Investment Outward Foreign Direct Investment Quality of Export Products Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model

收稿日期 2018-06-06; 接受日期 ;

基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目 (71303192)

作者简介: 程凯(1992— ),男,重庆人,博士研究生,主要从事进出口贸易研究;杨逢珉(1955— ),女,甘肃兰州人,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事国际贸易研究。

引用本文:

程凯, 杨逢珉.FDI、OFDI对出口产品质量的影响研究[J]. 经济经纬, 2019,3: 49-57

CHENG Kai, YANG Feng-min.Research on the Influence of FDI and OFDI on the Quality of Export Products[J] Economic Survey, 2019,V36(3): 49-57

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2019/V36/I3/49

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