An Analysis of the Dynamic Development and Influencing Factors of Rural Poverty in China ——Based on the Dataset of CHNS
YANG Hui-min1,2, LUO Qing2,3, Xu Jia-wei2,3
1.College of Environment and Planning, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004, China; 2. Collaborative Innovation Center of Three-aspect Coordination of Central-China Economic Region/ School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China; 3.College of Resource and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law,Zhengzhou 450046,China
Abstract：
According to the household micro panel data of China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), and by using the Probit regression model, this paper analysis the household poverty status and its dynamic characteristics from three aspects of the head of the household, the family and the community. Through the analysis we can found that under the different poverty line, the poverty rate showed a downward trend in this three year. As the number of poor households experiencing poverty continues to decline, only part of the families are still in poverty in the next year. The state of out of poverty and in poverty are existing at the same time. The regression analysis shows that the education level of the householder, arable land area of the family, the village which has a lower proportion of the labor force in agricultural production, and the distance to the latest primary school and railway station etc. have a significant impact on the marginal effect of poverty in the next year. Due to the different standards of poverty, the extent of influence also varies.
YANG Hui-min, LUO Qing, Xu Jia-wei.An Analysis of the Dynamic Development and Influencing Factors of Rural Poverty in China ——Based on the Dataset of CHNS[J] Economic Survey, 2016,V33(5): 42-47
2016 
