中日贸易内涵能源的测算与分解——基于非竞争型投入产出表的分析

摘要笔者基于中日两国非竞争型投入产出表，对1995年～2012年中日贸易内涵能源进行了测算，并运用结构分解分析(SDA)模型的加权平均分解法对影响中日内涵能源变化的因素进行了分解。测算结果表明:1995年以来，中国对日本出口内涵能源和进口内涵能源整体都呈现增长的态势，但中国一直是内涵能源净出口国。分解结果表明:出口规模的扩大和中间投入结构均促进了出口内涵能源的增加，其中出口规模的影响最为显著;直接能耗强度的下降和出口结构的优化抑制了出口内涵能源的增加，但不足以抵消出口规模所引起的内涵能源的增加。

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	黄伟如
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关键词：中日贸易内涵能源非竞争型投入产出表 SDA分析

Abstract： Based on non-competitive input-output tables of China and Japan, this paper evaluates the energy embodied in Sino-Japanese trade during 1995-2012. Furthermore, by employing the weighted average method of structural decomposition analysis (SDA) model, this paper analyzes the driving forces of embodied energy in Sino-Japanese trade. The measurement result indicates that the embodied energy in China’s export to Japan and embodied energy in China’s import from Japan have been rising since 1995 on the whole, but China is still a net exporter of embodied energy. With SDA analysis, this paper also finds that both the expansion of export scale and the intermediate input structure have promoted the increase of energy embodied in export, in which the expansion of export scale is the major factor. In addition, the decline of direct energy intensity and the structure optimization of export have inhibited the increase of embodied energy. However, it cannot be offset the increase of embodied energy driven by scale effect.

Keywords： Sino-Japanese Trade Embodied Energy Non-Competitive Input-Output Tables Structure Decomposition Analysis

收稿日期 2016-11-02; 接受日期 2016-11-02;

基金资助:国家自然科学基金青年项目(71203092);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(NJ20150035)

作者简介: 黄伟如(1961-)，男，浙江丽水人，副教授，硕士生导师，主要从事国际贸易理论与政策研究;张贤(1990-)，女，江苏泰兴人，硕士研究生，主要从事能源经济研究;查冬兰(1983-)，女，江苏江阴人，博士(后)，副教授，主要从事能源系统分析与建模。

引用本文:

黄伟如，张贤，查冬兰.中日贸易内涵能源的测算与分解——基于非竞争型投入产出表的分析[J]. 经济经纬, 2016,5: 48-53

HUANG Wei-ru, ZHANG Xian, ZHA Dong-lan.The Calculation and Decomposition of Embodied Energy in Sino-Japanese Trade ——An Analysis Based on Non-competitive Input-output Tables[J] Economic Survey, 2016,V33(5): 48-53

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2016/V33/I5/48