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    经济经纬 2015 Issue (4) :19-24
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    西部地区财政支出、城镇化与经济增长关系的实证研究
    袁丹1,雷宏振2
    1.西安建筑科技大学 管理学院, 陕西 西安 710311;
2.陕西师范大学 国际商学院,陕西 西安 710119
    An Empirical Study of the Relationships between Financial Expenditure, Urbanization and Economic Growth in Western China
    YUAN Dan1, LEI Hong-zhen2
    (1.School of Management, Xi’an University of Architecture & Technology, Xi’an Shanxi 710311;
2.International Business School ,Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119,China)
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摘要 本文基于1993年~2011年的数据构建VAR(3)模型,实证分析了西部地区财政支出、城镇化和经济增长之间的动态关系,并进行了长期协整关系分析。结果表明三个变量共同作用时都是任一变量的格兰杰原因。在短期内,经济增长受到城镇化的正向影响,滞后三期的系数较大,对来自城镇化冲击的正向反馈出现较慢;城镇化受经济增长的影响较大,对来自经济增长冲击的正向反馈出现较快,也受到滞后三期的城镇化的较大影响。在长期内,城镇化、财政支出和经济增长之间存在均衡的协整关系,城镇化对经济增长有积极的促进作用。
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袁丹
雷宏振
关键词西部地区   城镇化   经济增长   财政支出     
Abstract: According to the data during 1993-2011, the paper does an empirical analysis about the dynamic relationships between financial expenditure, urbanization and economic growth in western China by using a VAR model, and it also analyzes the long run co-integration relationship. It concludes that: (1) Three variables together are the Granger cause to any one of them. (2) In the short term, economic growth is positively influenced by urbanization with a bigger coefficient of the third lagged of urbanization, and gives a slower positive response to the impulse of urbanization. Urbanization is mainly influenced by economic growth, and gives a quicker positive response to the impulse of economic growth. It also influenced by the third lagged of financial expenditure positively. (3) Financial expenditure, urbanization and economic growth have the long-term co-integration relationships, and urbanization promotes economic growth in western China.
Keywords Western China   Urbanization   Economic Growth   Financial Expenditure     
收稿日期 2014-01-04; 接受日期 2015-07-29;
基金资助:中央高校重点科研课题(10SZZD03);陕西师范大学研究生培养创新基金项目(2013CXB017)
作者简介: 袁丹(1985-),女,陕西西安人,讲师,主要从事产业发展研究;雷宏振(1966-),男,陕西合阳人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事产业发展研究。
引用本文:   
袁丹,雷宏振.西部地区财政支出、城镇化与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].  经济经纬, 2015,4: 19-24
YUAN Dan, LEI Hong-zhen.An Empirical Study of the Relationships between Financial Expenditure, Urbanization and Economic Growth in Western China[J]  Economic Survey, 2015,V31(4): 19-24
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