制度安排、城镇化与环境污染

摘要在新经济地理和经济增长模型的综合理论框架下,利用1998—2015年中国省际面板数据,运用空间计量和门槛效应模型对制度安排、城镇化和环境污染之间的关系进行了实证研究。研究发现:全国、东部和西部城镇化对环境污染的影响均呈现倒N形,中部则呈现U形;产权制度、市场制度、经济开放和环境制度与城镇化交互项的估计系数显著为负,分配格局显著为正,且引入交叉项使得倒N形和U形曲线的顶点有所提前;不同制度安排条件下城镇化对环境污染的影响存在显著的区间效应,当制度安排较低时,城镇化提高会加剧环境污染,当制度安排逐步完善时,城镇化对环境污染的加剧作用会逐步减弱。同时劳动、资本、环境投资以及技术水平都从不同方面对环境污染产生影响。因此,通过制度完善和创新,推进区域环境合作,是推进城镇化和生态环境协同发展的有效途径。

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	李佳佳

关键词：制度安排城镇化环境污染空间计量

Abstract： According to the comprehensive theoretical analysis framework of new economic geography and economic growth model, and by using spatial econometric and threshold effect model, this paper analyzes the relationship of institutional arrangement, urbanization and environmental pollution, which is on the basis of Chinese Provincial Panel Data from 1998 to 2015. The empirical results show that there are inverted N-shaped curves in the National, Eastern and Western, and there is U-shaped curve in the Central. The estimation coefficient of interaction term is significantly negative of property rights institution, market institution, economic opening and the environment institution. The distribution pattern is significantly positive, which makes the vertices advanced of inverted N and U curves. There are significant interval effects on the impact of urbanization on environmental pollution under different institutional arrangements. When the institutional arrangement is low, the improvement of urbanization will aggravate the environmental pollution. When the institutional arrangements are gradually improved, the intensification of urbanization on environmental pollution will gradually weaken. At the same time, labor, capital, environmental investment and technical level all influence the environmental pollution in different aspects. Therefore, it is an effective way to promote the coordinated development of urbanization and ecological environment through the improvement and innovation of the institutional and the promotion of regional environmental cooperation.

Keywords： Institutional Arrangement Urbanization Environmental Pollution Spatial Econometric

收稿日期 2019-05-08; 接受日期 ;

基金资助:山西省高校哲学社会科学研究项目(201803044);山西省高等学校科技创新项目(2019L0054)

作者简介: 李佳佳(1986— ),女,山西太原人,博士,副教授,主要从事经济制度与可持续发展研究。

引用本文:

李佳佳.制度安排、城镇化与环境污染[J]. 经济经纬, 2020,3: 29-36

LI Jiajia.The Relationship of Institutional Arrangement, Urbanization and Environmental Pollution[J] Economic Survey, 2020,V37(3): 29-36

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2020/V37/I3/29

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