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Economic Survey
2012 Vol.1 Issue.2
Published 2012-03-10
Finacial Economic
1
ZHANG Shu-Guang
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 1-2 [
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2012 Vol. 1 (2): 2-3 [
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2012 Vol. 1 (2): 4-5 [
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Market Mechanism Construction and Transformation of Economic Growth Pattern——Theoretical and Empirical Analyses
WANG Ran
Though it has been a long time since the problem of transforming the economic growth pattern was proposed, the condition that the economic growth of our country mainly depends on investment increase has not improved obviously. The existing researches mainly focus on theoretical analyses and lack empirical test. The author built a multiple regression model, analyzed the energy consumption of industrial added value per unit of each province (district, city) with R & D investment intensity, marketization index, power generation per capita and Hoffman coefficients and proved that marketization index is the main factor deciding the energy consumption of industrial added value per unit. It means that as long as government intervention is reduced, marketization is perfected and perfect market mechanism is buict, the transformation of Chinas economic growth pattern can be achieved.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 12-16 [
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The Explanation of the Mechanism for Chinese Economic Growth——Based on Input and Output SDA Model
SONG Rui-li
With structural decompose analysis (briefed as SDA), the author decomposed Chinese economic growth between the periods of 1987-1997 and 1997-2007 into three effects: demand expansion effect from the industrial perspective, value added ratio effect and technical progress effect and calculated their contribution rates to economic growth. Empirical analysis indicates that the period of 1987-2007 sees great changes in the driving mechanism of Chinese economic growth, shifting from single reliance on demand expansion to coordination of demand expansion, value added ratio improvement and technical advancement. This study suggests that stability of Chinese economic growth as well as its quality and efficiency has been gradually enhanced. As Chinese economic growth still has great potential, the author finally put forwards relevant suggestions for making policies.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 17-21 [
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Regional Development of Manufacturing Industry in the Eastern and Midwestern Regions of China——Based on the Theory of “Home Market Effects”
ZHAO Yong, ZHANG Yang
“New Economic Geography Theory” emphasizes that scale economy is the driving force of regional and international trade and it is referred to as “home market effects” by Krugman. “Home market effects” is not only of important theoretical significance but also of realistic economic significance. With the help of “time series analysis”, the authors made an empirical test of the “home market effect” of the manufacturing industry in the east and midwest areas of China. The outcomes show: in most manufacturing sectors in the regional economic development of the east and midwest of China, the scale of local demand played the main role and the effect of the centripetal and centrifugal forces of enterprises productivity and fixed costs on “home market effects” is verified in general. Therefore, in the process of pursuing harmonious development of future regional economy, emphasizing fostering the “home market effects” of relevant industries is of great significance.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 37-41 [
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Innovation，Economic Growth and Motive Power of Transition——An Empirical Analysis Based on Shandong Province
LU Jin, CHEN Yang, HE Xiao-li
By employing the coupled evolution model, the authors made an empirical evaluation of the synergy relationship between innovation and economic growth in Shandong province with Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces as the reference. The results show that the comprehensive innovation capability of Shandong Province shows a linear growth trend with relatively strong system innovation ability, but technological innovation and innovation environment are relatively weak. At the same time, technological innovation has strong development potential, but innovative activities lack effective market competition and incentive environment. In addition, the comprehensive innovation capability and economic development experienced the evolution from mild recession to good coordinated development and has begun to move gradually toward better coordinated development, but because of the impact of possible decline in economic growth, the future harmonious development will confront enormous pressure.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 42-46 [
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Institutional Change and Emerging Industries——Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Evidence
YUAN Zhong-hua, FENG Jin-li
Emerging industries, as an industry cluster with a completely new economic form, have its unique characteristics and developmental law. The existing literature pays little attention to the influencing factors of the development of emerging industries and there is no literature making empirical test of the contribution of each factor, especially institutional change, to the development of emerging industries. For example, Romer's "knowledge spillover" model and Lucas' "human capital spillover model" both emphasize the importance of human capital, but because the accumulation of human capital and the heterogeneity of human capital caused by it are both technical progress oriented, they both belong to the theory of technology determinism. All industries grow in a certain system and environment. Emerging industries, as an industry in the sprout and growth period, need good system environment and arrangement. System accompanies the development process of emerging industries and is the primary factor determining the development speed of them.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 47-51 [
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Research into the Effect of Rare Earth Resource Tax on the Export Market Power of “Oligarch” Country
WANG Zheng-ming, ZHANG Xu-jing
The authors mainly analyze the potential influence of the rare resource tax policy of "oligarch country" on its export market power from the perspective of tax transfer. Based on grasping the upstream and downstream layout of the rare earth industry chain of our country, sorting through the structure of its production, processing and trade, through changing the function of domestic rare earth production, the authors researched the elasticity of tax price transfer under the equilibrium of rare earth trade market. The analysis showed that the resources tax can not only force the integration of domestic rare earth industry and increase industry concentration but also transfer part of the tax burden to international market and increase the power and trade profits of rare earth export market.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 52-55 [
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Import Technology Spillover, Export Similarity and Optimization of the Structure of Chinese Export Commodity
WANG Ming-rong, WANG Ming-xi
For the developed countries as a whole, import technology spillovers promote the optimization of export commodity structure through import penetration rate while for the G7 countries, the technology spillovers resulting from import can promote the optimization of export commodity structure of our country themselves and import penetration rate is not a necessary factor. The improvement of domestic R&D investment can promote the optimization of the export commodity structure of our country.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 65-69 [
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Foreign Exchange Market Depth，Network Externality and the International Status of USD——An Empirical Research Based on the Panel Data of Different Countries and Regions
ZHONG Yang, DING Ying-bing, HE Bin
Though the future of USD is uncertain, no other currency has more strength than USD now and the short-term trend of USD can’t be judged simply. The authors used panel data model to analyze the determinants of USD’s international status. The results show that the foreign exchange market depth of a country has important positive effect on the establishment of the international status of USD: the more developed the foreign exchange market of a country, the more it favors USD; in addition, in the dynamic panel data model, the actual currency volume of trade in the foreign exchange market in the former period is also an obvious factor determining the international status of USD. Furthermore, the more the actual currency volume of trade in the foreign exchange market in the former period, the more the need for USD in the country. The conclusion proved the existence of the effect of network externality.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 70-74 [
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Political Relevance, Financial Annual Report Baleful Patch and Debt Financing Contract——An Empirical Research Based on the Actual Controllers’ Political Status of Chinese Private Listed Companies
Pan Ke-qin
Taking the private listed companies of China from 2003 to 2008 as samples, the author empirically analyzes the actual controllers’ political status, the malicious patch of financial annual report and its influence on debt financing contract and finds that the higher the actual controllers’ political status, the less the phenomenon that listed companies release baleful patch of financial annual report; if listed companies issue malicious financial patch, the size of loans of the next year will decrease obviously, but the above negative effect of the political connection reduces obviously, which shows that the political relevance of the actual controllers of listed companies strengthens the self-discipline governance of listed companies out of maintaining the potential competitive edge. Thus the debt integrity is reinforced and the signature of debt contract is promoted.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 75-80 [
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Executive Compensation, Shareholding Structure and Enterprise Growth——Data from Private Equity Backed Enterprises
WU Ji-zhong
In traditional financing paths, small and medium size technological companies are difficult to get financial support. The emergence of private equity fund strongly promoted technological companies' development and at the same time private equity fund got satisfactory return. The author made an empirical research of 69 small and medium size enterprises supported by private equity fund and found that executive compensation ratio, average compensation, shareholding ratio and average shareholding don't influence enterprise growth strongly, but executive compensation variance and stockholding variance are positively connected with enterprise growth, which accords with Championship effect.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 86-89 [
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A Research into the Incentive Compatibility of the Firm Profit Mechanism in theCost Free Business Mode——Based on an Analysis of the Industry of Online Games
LI Da-kai, SUN Yue-yao, TENG Li-mei
On the basis of an analysis of online game manufacturers and the characteristics of consumer behavior in the cost free business model, the authors analyzed the profit mechanism of online game manufacturers and consumption selection mechanism. In the theory of incentive compatibility, through an optimal solution to manufacturer profit model and rational consumption selection model, the authors hold that under the cost free business model the profit of online game manufacturers and the gains of consumers are both more than those under the timekeeping charge model. Furthermore in the optimal mechanism, the earnings of manufacturers and consumers are consistent, which verified the manufacturer profit advantage under the cost free business model.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 120-124 [
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An Empirical Study on the Relationship among Involvement Antecedents,Involvement Extent and Purchase Willingness of Consumers
LENG Xiong-hui
Involvement extent of consumers is influenced by a variety of involvement antecedents, and involvement extent and purchase willingness are significantly correlated; among the involvement antecedents, marketing stimuli is significantly related to personal interest and involvement extent and other factors are generally related or weakly related; involvement extent is a mediating variable in consumer behaviors. Based on the characteristics of Chinese market and the difference in consumer behaviors, the author verified the relationship among these variables and concluded that marketing stimuli is the greatest positive factor. Meanwhile, the statement “Good wine is also afraid of deep alley” was also verified. So enterprises should be oriented toward consumers’ needs, make integrated marketing communications strategy and carry out effective marketing.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 125-129 [
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A Research into Human Capital Investment and Enterprise Performance Based on the Perspective of Training——An Analysis of the Cross Sectional Data of Non-listed Chinese Industrial Enterprises
REN Yu, XIE Jie
Using the cross sectional data of the above-scale non-listed Chinese industrial enterprises in 2007, the authors measured human capital investment with training fees and made an empirical analysis of the relationship between human capital investment and enterprise performance. The study results show that enterprise performance has a positive relationship with the human capital investment and has a negative relationship with physical capital investment; in different provinces, human capital investment's impacts on enterprise performance has great fluctuations; in the eastern and middle regions of China human capital investment has greater impact on enterprise performance than in the western region. Therefore, the country should establish a scientific and effective system for human capital investment and form a stable investment regime.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 130-134 [
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135
A Research into the Competence and Training Mechanisms of Talent Assessment Professionals in Our Country
WANG Hui-qin, YU Hai-bin
The authors constructed a model for studying the competence of talent assessment professionals of and made an empirical research, finding that the competence of talent assessment professionals of our country consists of the three dimensions professional ethics, professional knowledge and professional skills and 17 indicators. Then the authors put forward the specific measures to strengthen the construction of training mechanism for talent assessment professionals, which involve multi-disciplinary, multi-level training model, theoretical study mechanism, multi-sector, multi-grade qualification management mode and practical training mechanisms.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 135-139 [
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A Research into the Basic Theory on Chinese Land-based Public Finance——the Origin, Nature, Risk and Future of Land-based Public Finance
TANG Zai-fu
The emergence and development of land-based public finance in our country presents a reversed “U” trait. The direct reason for it lies in the arrangement of land system, government-led great-leap-forward development and the insufficient cost reimbursement of land sale income. In the long run, the main risk of land-based public finance includes the unsustainable land sale revenue, large size of land mortgage financing of the government, housing bubble and unfair income distribution. The key to preventing and defusing the potential risk of land-based public finance lies in perfecting real estate tax system, strengthening the management of government land sale and mortgage financing and reducing the impact caused by the fall in land sale income scale.
2012 Vol. 1 (2): 140-145 [
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