金融发展对城镇化影响的实证研究—

摘要利用2001年～2012年河南省17个地级市的面板数据,采用基于PVAR的GMM估计、面板格兰杰因果检验、面板脉冲响应分析和面板方差分解等诸多实证方法,笔者考察了金融发展对就业城镇化、生活方式城镇化、城市建设城镇化和户籍人口城镇化的影响。研究表明:金融发展对河南城镇化进程具有重要影响,金融发展显著抑制了就业城镇化的推进,但是短期内显著促进户籍人口城镇化进程,对生活方式城镇化和城区建设城镇化的支持则很不明显。格兰杰因果检验和方差分解分析表明:金融发展对城镇化的影响主要通过就业城镇化、户籍人口城镇化渠道产生。研究对河南省乃至中西部地区城镇化推进中配套金融政策的制定具有重要意义。

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	陈志伟

关键词：金融发展城镇化实证研究河南省

Abstract： Based on the panel data from 17 cites in Henan Province during 2001-2012, using the GMM estimation, panel Granger causality test, impulse response analysis and panel variance decomposition based on PVAR, this article examines the impact of financial development on employment urbanization, lifestyle urbanization, construction urbanization and household population urbanization. The research shows that financial development has an important influence on the process of urbanization in Henan: financial development significantly inhibits employment urbanization, but promotes household population urbanization significantly in the short term, however, the financial support for lifestyle urbanization and construction urbanization is not obvious. The Granger causality test and variance decomposition analysis show that the effects of financial development on urbanization mainly focus on employment and household population urbanization. The conclusion of this article has an important implication for the financial support policy in Henan province, as well as the central and western regions.

Keywords： Financial Development Urbanization Empirical Study Henan Province

收稿日期 2014-11-14; 接受日期 2014-11-14;

作者简介: 陈志伟(1970-),男,河南洛阳人,四川大学经济学院博士研究生,主要从事城镇化研究。

引用本文:

陈志伟.金融发展对城镇化影响的实证研究——以河南省为例[J]. 经济经纬, 2014,6: 7-13

CHEN Zhi-wei.An Empirical Study on the Impact of Financial Development on the Urbanization ——Take Henan Province as An Example[J] Economic Survey, 2014,V31(6): 7-13

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2014/V31/I6/7