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    经济经纬 2019 Issue (4) :157-164
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    科技创新、金融发展与实体经济增长——基于长江经济带的动态空间模型分析
汪发元1,2, 郑军1,2
1.长江大学 长江经济带发展研究院,湖北 荆州 434023;
2.长江大学 管理学院,湖北 荆州 434023
    Technological Innovation, Financial Development and Real Economy Growth——An Analysis of Yangtze River Economic Zone Based on Dynamic Spatial Model
    WANG Fa-yuan1,2, ZHENG Jun1,2
1.Research Institute of Changjiang Economic Belt Development, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434023, China;
2.School of Management, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434023, China
摘要
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摘要 基于长江经济带11省市1999—2016年科技创新、金融发展和实体经济增长的数据,通过动态空间杜宾模型对三者之间的关系进行研究。实证结果显示,长江经济带发展空间效应正在形成,实体经济的发展相互之间有正向溢出效应;科技创新和金融发展对本地实体经济的发展有正向影响,但对相邻省市有负向影响;科技创新与金融发展交叉项对实体经济发展的直接作用为负,间接作用为正;开放程度、人力资本的增加对相邻地区产生了显著的正向空间溢出效应。为此,应当大力发展实体经济,充分发挥区域空间溢出效应。
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汪发元
郑军
关键词科技创新   金融发展   实体经济   动态影响     
Abstract: By means of dynamic spatial durbin model, this paper investigates the relationship among scientific and technological innovation, financial development and real economy growth based on data in these aspects of 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 1999 to 2016. The results show that the spatial effects of development are taking shape in Yangtze River Economic Belt, and there is a positive spillover effect in the development of real economy. Scientific and technological innovation and financial development have a positive effect on the development of the local real economy but a negative one on the neighboring provinces and cities. Moreover, the cross-term of scientific and technological innovation and financial development has a direct negative effect and a positive indirect effect on the real economy growth. The increase in openness and human capital has a significant positive spillover effect on neighboring regions. Therefore, it is a must that the real economy be vigorously developed and the regional spatial spillover effect be given full play to.
KeywordsScientific and Technological Innovation   Financial Development   Real Economy   Dynamic Influence     
收稿日期 2018-09-15; 接受日期 ;
基金资助:国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDA020);湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学重大研究项目(16ZD020);长江大学“区域经济与中部战略发展”优势特色学科群项目(QYJJ201805)
作者简介: 汪发元(1961— ),男,湖北天门人,教授,主要从事区域经济和农业经济研究;郑军(1969— ),男,湖北石首人,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事区域经济及财务管理研究。
引用本文:   
汪发元, 郑军.科技创新、金融发展与实体经济增长——基于长江经济带的动态空间模型分析[J].  经济经纬, 2019,4: 157-164
WANG Fa-yuan, ZHENG Jun.Technological Innovation, Financial Development and Real Economy Growth——An Analysis of Yangtze River Economic Zone Based on Dynamic Spatial Model[J]  Economic Survey, 2019,V36(4): 157-164
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