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    经济经纬 2014 Issue (4) :127-132
    财政金融 最新目录 | 下期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
    论财政政策对资产价格波动的影响
    吴军1,薛小玉1,刘钊2
    1.对外经贸大学 金融学院,北京 100029; 2.中国金融出版社,北京 100071
    Should Fiscal Policy Focus on Asset Price Volatility-A Debate about the Relationship between Them
    WU Jun1, XUE Xiao-yu1, LIU Zhao2
    1.School of Banking and Finance, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China;2.Financial Publishing House, Beijing 100071, China
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摘要 笔者结合我国实际数据,利用SVAR模型,对财政政策与资产价格波动二者关系进行了实证分析,研究得出如下结论现代市场经济需要关注资产价格的波动和临界点,资产价格不宜作为我国财政政策调控的直接目标,但可考虑作为宏观经济调控关注的辅助目标,并对资产价格的波动实施监测。
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吴军
薛小玉
刘钊
关键词财政政策   资产价格   SVAR模型     
Abstract: The fluctuation of Assets price is a difficult problem that every government has to deal with. When facing the wave, government usually cannot handle it properly, which leads to a serious mistake. In the period of economic crisis, whether the adjustment of macroeconomic regulation, especially the fiscal policy, has to react to the fluctuation of Assets price is becoming an important topic to treat with. This report deeply researches on the mutual relations between fiscal policy and the fluctuation of Assets price by analyzing the influence channel. Beyond that, in this paper, we construct the SVAR model using the Chinese data to study the relationship between them. The view of this report is concise. In the period of financial crisis, the implementation of fiscal policy in China has to be combined with the fluctuation of Assets price in the capital market, and the government also has to track and give attention to the adjacent point. As far as the practical operation is concerned, the report indicates that the Assets price should be the assistant goal of Chinese macroeconomic regulation, which monitors the fluctuation, rather than the direct goal of regulating Chinese fiscal policy. Besides paying attention to the direct influence of fiscal policy on the real economy, the government also has to consider the indirect influence of the fluctuation of Assets price on it.
KeywordsFiscal Policy   Asset Price   SVAR Model     
收稿日期 2014-06-29; 接受日期 2014-06-29;
基金资助:河北省社会科学基金项目(HB13GL035)
作者简介: 吴军(1953- ),男,上海人,对外经济贸易大学金融学院教授,主要从事货币经济学与货币理论和政策研究;薛小玉(1984- ),女,河北冀州人,对外经济贸易大学金融学院博士研究生,主要从事货币政策与金融市场研究;刘钊(1972- ),男,河北安新人,财政部财政科学研究所博士后,中国金融杂志社中国金融文化研训院副院长,主要从事资本市场与财政政策研究。
引用本文:   
吴军,薛小玉,刘钊.论财政政策对资产价格波动的影响[J].  经济经纬, 2014,4: 127-132
WU Jun, XUE Xiao-yu,LIU Zhao .Should Fiscal Policy Focus on Asset Price Volatility-A Debate about the Relationship between Them[J]  Economic Survey, 2014,V31(4): 127-132
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