城乡统筹：城镇化与农业经济增长关系的实证分析

摘要笔者运用协整分析、误差修正模型分析和Granger因果关系检验，对城镇化发展和农业经济增长的关系进行实证研究，探讨两者之间的长期稳定关系和短期均衡关系。研究表明，两者之间存在长期的动态均衡关系；二者相互影响强度在长期与短期不同；两者分别在不同滞后期具有单向因果关系。

	Service

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入我的书架
	加入引用管理器
	Email Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	苏发金

关键词：城镇化农业增长协整分析误差修正模型 Granger因果关系检验

Abstract： Making use of co-integration analysis, error correction model analysis and Granger causality test, the author made an empirical research into the relationship between urbanization development and agriculture growth and explored the long-term stability and short term equilibrium relationship between them. The study shows that there is a dynamic equilibrium between them in the long term|the intensity that they interact with each other is different in the long term and short term|they both have the one way causal relationship at different durations of lag

Keywords： urbanization agricultural growth co-integration analysis error correction model Granger causality test

收稿日期 2011-03-10; 接受日期 2011-10-30;

作者简介: 苏发金(1967-)，男，湖北枝江人，中南财经政法大学工商管理学院博士研究生，中共宜昌市委党校副教授，主要从事农业经济与金融经济研究。

引用本文:

苏发金.城乡统筹：城镇化与农业经济增长关系的实证分析[J]. 经济经纬, 2011,4: 111-115

SU Fa-jin.Integration of Urban and Rural Development：An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Urbanization and Agricultural Economic Growth[J] Economic Survey, 2011,V28(4): 111-115

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2011/V28/I4/111