中国对“一带一路”国家直接投资与东道国出口产品质量

摘要基于2008—2020年CEPII-BACI数据库和《中国对外直接投资统计公报》,采用固定效应模型探究中国对“一带一路”国家直接投资对东道国制造业出口产品质量的影响及作用机制。结果表明:(1)中国对外直接投资会显著促进“一带一路”国家制造业出口产品质量升级,在进行了内生性问题处理等稳健性检验后这一结论依然成立,且该促进作用在中低技术产品、劳动密集型产品和同质化产品中更为显著。(2)中国对外直接投资通过提升“一带一路”国家产业结构和创新水平而促进其出口产品质量升级,同时“一带一路”国家的金融发展、制度质量和确定性程度会加强该促进作用。(3)进一步研究发现,较其他国家从“一带一路”国家进口产品的质量而言,中国对“一带一路”国家直接投资更能显著提高中国从其进口产品的质量,造成这种现象的原因是中国对“一带一路”国家直接投资增加了中国与“一带一路”国家之间的贸易互补性。

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关键词：对外直接投资 “一带一路”国家制造业出口产品质量贸易互补性

Abstract： Based on CEPII-BACI database and Statistical Bulletin of China's Foreign Direct Investment from 2008 to 2020, this paper uses a fixed-effect model to explore the influence and mechanism of China's direct investment in “ Belt and Road Initiative ” countries on the quality of manufacturing exports of “ Belt and Road Initiative ”countries.There are following findings: (1) China's foreign direct investment will significantly promote the quality upgrading of manufacturing exports of “ Belt and Road Initiative ” countries.After the robustness test such as endogenous problem handling, this conclusion is still valid, and the promoting effect is more significant in low-and medium-tech products, labor-intensive products and homogenized products; (2) China's foreign direct investment promotes the upgrading of the quality of its export products by upgrading the industrial structure and innovation level of “ Belt and Road Initiative” countries.At the same time, the financial development, institutional quality and certainty of “ Belt and Road Initiative ” countries will strengthen this promoting role; (3) Further study shows that China's direct investment in “ Belt and Road Initiative ” countries can significantly improve the quality of China's imports from “ Belt and Road Initiative ” countries than the quality of products imported by other countries from “ Belt and Road Initiative ” countries.And the reason for this phenomenon is that China's direct investment in “ Belt and Road Initiative ” countries increases the trade complementarity between China and it.

Keywords： Foreign Direct Investment “ Belt and Road Initiative ” Countries Manufacturing Industry Export Products Quality Trade Complementarity

收稿日期 2022-10-07; 接受日期 ;

基金资助:国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA137)

作者简介: 王妍(1994— ),女,辽宁朝阳人,博士研究生,主要从事国际贸易与社会网络研究;范爱军(1955— ),男,山东海阳人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事国际贸易理论与政策研究。

引用本文:

王妍, 范爱军.中国对“一带一路”国家直接投资与东道国出口产品质量[J]. 经济经纬, 2023,3: 66-76

WANG Yan, FAN Aijun.China's Direct Investment in “ Belt and Road Initiative ” Countries and the Quality of Products Exported by the Host Country[J] Economic Survey, 2023,V40(3): 66-76

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2023/V40/I3/66

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