金融发展与产业结构升级非线性关系研究—

摘要金融发展是促进产业结构升级的重要手段。为此,笔者基于Hansen门槛模型,以金融发展水平作为门槛变量,对我国金融发展与产业结构升级的关系进行研究。结果表明:(1)金融发展与产业结构升级存在非线性相关关系,在不同金融发展水平下,金融发展对产业结构升级的促进作用不同,呈现出先上升后下降的倒“U”型趋势;(2)我国金融发展与产业升级非线性关系的表现形式在区域上存在差异。中西部的金融发展水平较低,促进作用却更为明显;东部的金融发展水平较高,但促进作用却较小。

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关键词：金融发展产业结构升级门槛模型非线性关系

Abstract： Industrial structure upgrading is the only way to achieve China’s economic growth and sustainable development. For this, based on the threshold of Hansen model, with the level of financial development as the threshold variables, the relationship between financial development and industrial structure upgrading in China was studied. The results show that: (1) there is a nonlinear relationship between financial development and industrial structure upgrading. Under the different level of financial development, the promoting to industrial structure upgrading is different, showed up inverted u-shaped trend. (2) The forms of nonlinear relationship between financial development and industrial structure upgrading changes on the regional. The level of financial development are lower in the central and western region, the promoting effect are more obvious; the level of financial development is higher in the eastern region, the promoting effect even smaller.

Keywords： Financial Development Industrial Structure Upgrading Threshold Model Nonlinear Relationship

收稿日期 2016-03-28; 接受日期 2016-03-28;

基金资助:国家社会科学基金项目 (14BJL088)

作者简介: 陶爱萍(1970- ),女,安徽枞阳人,教授,博士,主要从事产业经济、技术经济研究;徐君超(1990- ),男,安徽无为人,硕士研究生。

引用本文:

陶爱萍,徐君超.金融发展与产业结构升级非线性关系研究——基于门槛模型的实证检验[J]. 经济经纬, 2016,2: 84-89

TAO Ai-ping, XU Jun-chao.The Nonlinear Relationship between Financial Development and Industrial Structure Upgrading——An Empirical Analysis Based on Threshold Methodology[J] Economic Survey, 2016,V33(2): 84-89

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2016/V33/I2/84