基于三角白化权函数的中国服务贸易结构失衡灰色评估及失衡度测算

摘要为了更加客观地分析中国服务贸易结构和服务业内部结构的失衡程度,笔者构建了一个包含美国、加拿大、原欧盟15国、日本、韩国、新加坡、中国香港、新西兰、澳大利亚共23个发达国家(地区)的参照系,采用三角白化权函数灰色评估分析法,将服务贸易结构失衡分为轻微失衡、一般失衡和严重失衡3个灰类。结果表明2000年～2013年中国服务贸易结构由严重失衡转为一般失衡,而参照系则始终处于轻微失衡的状态;以参照系为基准计算的中国服务贸易结构失衡程度显示中国服务贸易出口结构失衡状况不断改善,而进口结构失衡则愈加恶化。

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	李丹

关键词：石油行业效率行政垄断经营效率福利损失石油行业效率行政垄断经营效率福利损失石油行业效率行政垄断经营效率福利损失石油行业效率行政垄断经营效率福利损失服务贸易结构失衡灰色聚类

Abstract： In order to analyze the degree of structural imbalance of Chinese trade in service objectively, this paper creates a reference system which constitutes 23 countries or regions of North America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania, classifies structural imbalance of trade in service into three categories, namely slightly imbalance, general imbalance, and severe imbalance, using triangular whitenization weight function method. The results indicate that on the one hand, structure of Chinese service trade has changed from serious imbalance to general imbalance during 2000 to 2013, whilethe reference system has been at the state of minor imbalance for the same period of time; on the other hand, the results of structural imbalance degree of Chinese service trade show that the imbalance of export structural has been improved, but the import structure deteriorated.

Keywords： Petroleum Industry Administrative Monopoly Business Efficiency Welfare Loss Petroleum Industry Administrative Monopoly Business Efficiency Welfare Loss Petroleum Industry Administrative Monopoly Business Efficiency Welfare Loss Petroleum Industry Administrative Monopoly Business Efficiency Welfare Loss Trade in Service Structural Imbalance Grey Clustering

收稿日期 2015-04-14; 接受日期 2016-05-16;

基金资助:国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDA056);教育部人文社会科学基金项目(13JYC790066);辽宁大学亚洲研究中心项目(Y201602)

作者简介: 李丹(1981- ),女,辽宁沈阳人,副教授,经济学博士,主要从事服务贸易研究。

引用本文:

李丹.基于三角白化权函数的中国服务贸易结构失衡灰色评估及失衡度测算[J]. 经济经纬, 2016,3: 72-77

LI Dan.A Grey Evaluation of the Structural Imbalance of Chinese Service Trade and its Degree of Imbalance Based on Triangular Whitenization Weight Function[J] Economic Survey, 2016,V33(3): 72-77

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2016/V33/I3/72