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    经济经纬 2015 Issue (2) :43-49
    国际经济 最新目录 | 下期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
    我国双顺差成因分析
    张运婷1,张彩云2
    (南开大学 经济学院,天津 300071)
    A Study on the Determinants of China’s Twin Surplus
    ZHANG Yun-ting, ZHANG Cai-yun
    (School of Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071,China)
摘要
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摘要 笔者利用实证模型检验,得出我国外部失衡根源于内部经济失衡:首先,以贸易部门为代表的第二产业比例过高导致贸易顺差增大;其次,收入分配失衡导致国内消费需求和投资需求不足,进一步刺激双顺差的形成;最后,金融结构失衡导致企业储蓄率居高不下,也是双顺差增大的重要成因。因此,要调整外部失衡,应优化产业结构,提高居民收入份额,扩大内需;完善金融市场,以实现国内储蓄向投资的有效流动。
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张运婷
张彩云
关键词双顺差   产业结构失衡   收入分配结构失衡   金融结构失衡     
Abstract: Based on the empirical model test,we come that internal economic imbalances are the roots of external imbalances.(1) The high proportion of secondary industry which is represented by trade department resulted in increasing trade surplus.(2) The income distribution imbalance lead to the decrease of the residents' income share and further insufficient domestic consumption demand and investment demand, which stimulate the formation of twin surplus.(3)The financial structure imbalance lead to high savings rate of enterprise, which prompted the twin surplus.Therefore,in order to adjust the external imbalances, industrial structure should be optimized and the residents’ income share be increased to expand domestic demand.Furthermore,financial market should be improved to realize the effective flow of domestic savings to investment.
KeywordsTwin Surplus   Imbalance of Industrial Structure   Imbalance of Income Distribution Structure   Imbalance of Financial Structure     
收稿日期 2015-03-04; 接受日期 2015-03-04;
作者简介: 张运婷(1986 -),女,山东菏泽人,博士,主要从事国际贸易、国际金融研究;张彩云(1987 -),女,山东潍坊人,博士,主要从事资源环境经济与可持续发展。
引用本文:   
张运婷,张彩云.我国双顺差成因分析[J].  经济经纬, 2015,2: 43-49
ZHANG Yun-ting, ZHANG Cai-yun.A Study on the Determinants of China’s Twin Surplus[J]  Economic Survey, 2015,V32(2): 43-49
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