低碳城市试点政策对城市经济高质量发展的影响

摘要基于2009—2019年中国255个地级及以上城市的面板数据,采用双重差分模型评估了低碳城市试点政策对城市经济高质量发展的影响及作用机制。结果表明:低碳城市试点政策能够促进城市经济高质量发展,三个批次试点政策对城市经济高质量发展的促进作用呈现递减趋势。机制检验显示,在低碳城市试点政策促进城市经济高质量发展过程中,技术创新具有正向中介作用,全要素生产率产生了负向中介作用。分城市区位来看,东部城市的低碳城市试点政策效应明显高于中西部城市。分城市规模、资源禀赋和环境规制来看,低碳城市试点政策对城市经济高质量发展的促进作用仅存在于大城市、非资源城市和两控区城市。鉴于此,应根据城市特征实施适合自身发展的低碳政策,充分利用低碳城市试点政策的创新补偿效应,推动城市经济高质量发展。

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关键词：低碳城市试点政策城市经济经济高质量发展环境规制

Abstract： Based on the panel data of 255 cities at prefecture level and above in China from 2009 to 2019, this paper uses a double difference model to evaluate the impact and mechanism of low-carbon city pilot policies on high-quality urban economic development. The results show that the pilot policies of low-carbon cities can promote the high-quality development of urban economy, and the promoting effect of three batches of pilot policies on high-quality development of urban economy shows a decreasing trend. Mechanism test shows that in the process of low-carbon city pilot policies to promote high-quality urban economic development, technological innovation plays a positive intermediary role, while total factor productivity plays a negative intermediary role.According to the city location, the effect of the pilot policy of low-carbon cities in eastern cities is significantly higher than that in central and western cities.From the perspective of city size, resource endowment and environmental regulation, the promotion effect of low-carbon city pilot policy on high-quality urban economic development only exists in big cities, non-resource cities and cities with two control areas. In view of this, we should implement low-carbon policies suitable for their own development according to urban characteristics, and make full use of the innovation compensation effect of low-carbon city pilot policies to promote the high-quality development of urban economy.

Keywords： Low-carbon City Pilot Policy Urban Economy Economic High-quality Development Environmental Regulation

收稿日期 2022-07-12; 接受日期 ;

基金资助:国家社会科学基金项目(18BJL025);安徽省高校人文社会科学重点项目(SK2021A0229);安徽生态与经济发展研究中心项目(AHST2019016)

通讯作者 范贤贤(1995— ),女,安徽宿州人,博士研究生,主要从事生态环境政策、绿色低碳发展、城市经济研究

作者简介: 郭平(1963— ),男,湖南株洲人,博士,教授,主要从事财政与税收政策研究。

引用本文:

范贤贤, 郭平.低碳城市试点政策对城市经济高质量发展的影响[J]. 经济经纬, 2023,4: 3-14

FAN Xianxian, GUO Ping.The Impact of Low-carbon City Pilot Policy on the High-Quality Development of Urban Economy[J] Economic Survey, 2023,V40(4): 3-14

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2023/V40/I4/3

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