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    经济经纬 2022 Issue (3) :3-14
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    国家级新区建设对区域经济发展的影响
周国富, 陈鑫鹏
天津财经大学 统计学院,天津 300222
    The Influence of National New Zone Construction on the Development of Regional Economy
    ZHOU Guofu, CHEN Xinpeng
School of Statistics, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin 300222, China
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摘要 国家级新区是经国务院批准,为承担国家重大发展和改革开放战略任务而设立的综合功能平台,其设立的政策效果有待检验。基于2002—2018年285个地级及以上城市面板数据,以设立国家级新区政策为准自然试验,采用多时点双重差分法识别国家级新区的设立对地区经济发展的因果效应。研究发现:(1)国家级新区的设立有助于地区经济发展,并且其推动力随着时间的推移并未减弱。(2)在东北和西部地区设立国家级新区的政策效应明显优于在东部和中部地区设立国家级新区,内陆地区设立国家级新区的政策效应明显优于在沿海地区设立国家级新区。(3)无论国家级新区设立在“省会及以上城市”还是“其他城市”,对周边城市均存在“虹吸效应”,其中又以设立在“其他城市”的国家级新区对周边城市的“虹吸效应”更显著。(4)跨区域设立国家级新区的政策效应要优于单一行政主体设立国家级新区的政策效应。上述实证研究结果为国家级新区未来布局和相关政策实施提供了重要依据。
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周国富
陈鑫鹏
关键词： 国家级新区   区域经济发展   政策评估   虹吸效应   双重差分     
Abstract： With the approval of the State Council, the national new area is a comprehensive functional platform established to undertake the strategic tasks of national major development and reform and opening up, and its policy effect remains to be tested. Based on the panel data of 285 cities at prefecture level and above from 2002 to 2018, this paper takes the policy of establishing national new area as a quasi-natural experiment, and uses multi-time-point double difference method to identify the causal effect of the establishment of national new area on regional economic development. There results are listed as follows. (1) The establishment of national new areas is conducive to regional economic development, and its driving force has not weakened with the passage of time. (2) The policy effect of the state-level new areas established in the northeast and western regions is obviously better than that of the state-level new areas established in the eastern and central regions, and the policy effect of the state-level new areas established in inland areas is obviously better than that of the state-level new areas established in coastal areas. (3) No matter whether the national new area is established in “provincial capital or above cities” or “other cities”, it has a “siphon effect” on the surrounding cities, among which the “siphon effect” of the national new areas established in “other cities” is more significant. (4) The policy effect of establishing national new area across regions is better than that of establishing national new area by a single administrative subject. The above empirical research results provide an important basis for the future layout of national new areas and the implementation of related policies.
Keywords： National New Zone   Regional Economic Development   Policy Evaluation   Siphon Effect   Difference-in-Difference     
收稿日期 2021-04-06; 接受日期 ;
基金资助:国家社会科学基金重点项目(19ATJ006)
通讯作者 陈鑫鹏(1992— ),男,河南平顶山人,博士研究生,主要从事国民经济统计分析、区域协调发展研究。   
作者简介: 周国富(1966— ),男,湖南石门人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事国民经济统计分析、区域协调发展研究。
引用本文:   
周国富, 陈鑫鹏.国家级新区建设对区域经济发展的影响[J].  经济经纬, 2022,3: 3-14
ZHOU Guofu, CHEN Xinpeng.The Influence of National New Zone Construction on the Development of Regional Economy[J]  Economic Survey, 2022,V39(3): 3-14
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