Abstract:
Based on 1997~2011 panel data of 30 provinces in China, this paper analyzes the different impacts of three urbanization stages on carbon emissions by using the STIRPAT model, and verifies whether the environmental Kuznets Curve exists in different urbanization stages. The results show that, along with the development of urbanization, the driving effect of urbanization on carbon emissions becomes smaller and smaller, but the miniaturization of household size plays a more and more important role in the increase of carbon emissions; per capita wealth has a significantly positive impact on carbon emissions in the three urbanization stages, especially at the middle stage of urbanization; the environmental Kuznets curve exists in the initial stage, middle stage and higher stage of urbanization, but reaching the turning point of carbon emissions needs 12 years, 31 years and 23 years respectively. Finally, it proposes targeted counter-measures to reduce carbon emissions according to its characteristics in different stages of urbanization.
REN Hai-jun, LIU Gao-li.A Research on the Different Impacts of Urbanization Stages on Carbon Emissions ——Based on the Panel Data of Provinces[J] Economic Survey, 2014,V31(5): 1-7