Abstract：
Based on the survey data of 7549 new-generation rural migrant workers in 1,363 counties (cities, districts) of 356 prefecture-level cities in 31 provinces (cities and autonomous region), this paper analyzes the transfer effects and relationship of new generation rural labor force by using the structural equation model. The results show that:The transfer effects formed in the transfer of new generation of rural labor force mainly include the herd effect, the integration effect, the spillover effect, the saturation effect, the siphon effect and the polarization effect, and there is a chain reaction or effect among these six effects. A large portion of rural labor force of new generation moves to cities due to the herd effect, then is transformed into citizen due to the integration effect, thus correspondingly brings impact to the places of inflow and outflow due to spillover effect. Meanwhile, it becomes very difficult for rural workers to become city citizens because of the saturation effect when the rural labor force flowing into the city reaches a certain level. The outflow of the new generation of rural labor force leads to the decline of the rural area where the labor force flows out due to the siphon effect. At the same time some rural areas develop due to the polarization effect which comes into effect because of the backflow of rural labor force, the regurgitation of cities and the aggregation of rural resources to some villages.
ZHANG Wuwei, ZHANG Fuming.A Research on Transfer Effects and Relationship of New Generation Rural Labor Force——Based on Survey Data of 7,549 Samples Nationwide[J] Economic Survey, 2020,V37(1): 32-40
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