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    经济经纬 2019 Issue (6) :47-54
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    中国农业劳动力流动拉力重构及其效果分析
李晓峰1,2, 李珊珊1,2
1.中国农业大学 经济管理学院,北京 100083;
2.中国农业大学 国家农业农村发展研究院,北京 100083
    Reconstruction of Pulling Force on Agricultural Labor and Its Effect in China
    LI Xiao-feng1, LI Shan-shan2
1.2.College of Economics and Management, National Agricultural and Rural Development Research Institute, China Agricultural University, Beijing,100083
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摘要 对于农业劳动力来说,城乡收入差距是诱使其流动的最关键拉力因素。计算城乡收入差距时,应考虑把消费因素作为流动成本纳入拉力的计算框架。依此思路,重构了考虑消费因素的城乡净收入差距,并建立城乡净收入差距模型和误差修正模型,分别估计城乡净收入差距和农业劳动力流动之间的长期和短期协整关系。结果表明:中国的城乡净收入差距是影响农业劳动力流向城市的重要原因之一;同时,城乡消费差距作为流动成本,影响了城乡收入差距的拉力作用效果,减少了农业劳动力向城市流动的规模;从长期和短期来看,城乡净收入差距增加时,农业劳动力流动规模增加幅度均变小。
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李晓峰
李珊珊
关键词： 城乡净收入差距   农业劳动力   重构流动拉力     
Abstract： For the agricultural labor,the urban-rural income gap is the most critical “pull” factor to induce its mobility. When calculating the urban-rural income gap, the consumption factor as the flow cost should be counted in the calculation framework of “pull”.This paper reconstructs the urban-rural net income gap involved with consumption factors, and establishes the urban-rural net income gap model and error correction model to respectively estimate the long-term and short-term co-integration relationship between the urban-rural net income gap and agricultural labor mobility. The results suggest that there is a co-integration relationship between rural-urban net income gap and migrant workers, which plays an important role for agricultural labor to flow into urban cities. Meanwhile, rural-urban consumption gap which is taken as flow cost slows down pulling force of rural-urban income gap to the scale of agricultural labor flow: both seen in the long and short terms, when the urban-rural net income gap increases, the scale of agricultural labor flow grows smaller.
Keywords： Urban-rural net income gap   Agricultural labor   Reconstruction   Pulling force of flow     
收稿日期 2019-03-02; 接受日期 ;
基金资助:中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2018TC047)
作者简介: 李晓峰(1978— ),男,天津人,博士,副教授,主要从事农业经济理论与政策研究;李珊珊(1994— ),女,山东东营人,博士研究生,主要从事农业经济理论与政策研究。
引用本文:   
李晓峰, 李珊珊.中国农业劳动力流动拉力重构及其效果分析[J].  经济经纬, 2019,6: 47-54
LI Xiao-feng, LI Shan-shan.Reconstruction of Pulling Force on Agricultural Labor and Its Effect in China[J]  Economic Survey, 2019,V36(6): 47-54
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