东亚和拉美外汇储备累积的实证比较研究

摘要通过对东亚和拉美的外汇储备累积问题进行研究，得出全球产业转移所导致的贸易规模扩大和经常帐户盈余积累等实际因素是新兴市场外汇储备增长的主要决定因素的结论。东亚比拉美有更多外汇储备的原因是两个地区发展模式的差异所致，东亚依附于重商主义的出口导向战略不仅能够增加出口，且获得经常帐户盈余的稳定性也要强于拉美。但东亚的新兴工业化经济体在外汇储备积累上却表现出了一定的预防性动机。

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关键词：外汇储备东亚拉美

Abstract： The research begins with an analysis of the foreign exchange reserve accumulation of East Asia and Latin America. The result of the analysis shows that the actual variables such as the trade volume enlargement and current account balance accumulation caused by global industry conversion are the main determining factors of emerging markets′ foreign exchange reserve increase. The reason why East Asian has more foreign exchange reserves than Latin America is the difference in the development modes of the two regions. East Asia’s export-oriented strategy which originated from mercantilism can not only enlarge export share of the region, but also attain more stable current account balances than Latin America. Nevertheless, the new industrialized economies of East Asia accumulate foreign exchange reserves for the purpose of precautionary responsiveness to crisisto a certain extent

Keywords： foreign exchange reserve East Asia Latin America

收稿日期 2010-12-10; 接受日期 2011-10-30;

基金资助:

教育部人文社科青年基金项目(09YJC790008)；安徽省社科规划项目(AHSK09-10D27)；安徽省高校优秀青年人才基金项目(05011416)；安徽侍育厅人文社科一般项目(2010SK052)

作者简介: 王三兴(1974-)，男，安徽合肥人，安徽大学经济学院副教授，经济学博士，主要从事国际经济学的研究；杜厚文(1938-)，男，四川乐山人，中国人民大学经济学院教授、博士生导师，主要从事世界经济学的研究。

引用本文:

王三兴, 杜厚文.东亚和拉美外汇储备累积的实证比较研究[J]. 经济经纬, 2011,2: 40-44

WANG San-xing , DU Hou-wen .An Empirical Comparative Research into the Foreign Exchange Reserve Accumulation of East Asia and Latin America[J] Economic Survey, 2011,V28(2): 40-44

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2011/V28/I2/40