经济经纬
         首页        期刊介绍        编 委 会        投稿指南        期刊订阅        学术影响        广告合作        联系我们        留 言 板       
    经济经纬 2017 Issue (3) :19-24
    区域经济 最新目录 | 下期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
    我国基本养老金增长的空间格局与空间效应
    苏宗敏,王中昭
    广西大学 商学院 广西 南宁 530004
    Spatial Pattern and Spatial Effect of Basic Pension Insurance Growth in China
    SU Zong-min, WANG Zhong-zhao
    Business School, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China
摘要
参考文献
相关文章
     Download: PDF (1208KB)   HTML 1KB   Export: BibTeX or EndNote (RIS)      Supporting Info
摘要 对我国基本养老金的空间分布格局进行概括和探索性空间分析;利用空间杜宾模型,分别在三种空间权重下对影响因素的作用方向和大小进行空间效应分解。研究发现,基本养老金的高值区域主要集中在西北部地区和东部沿海地区,东北与中南部地区的水平长期偏低,这在一定程度上反映了区域间养老保障水平的现实差距,且存在长期固化趋势。基本养老金增长的空间溢出作用客观存在,且主要受经济因素的影响较为显著,人口因素的作用则十分有限。我国基本养老保险的统筹层次偏低,难以进行跨区域横向调剂,导致地区差距明显,且严重阻碍了实现与劳动力自由流动相匹配的基本养老保险支付。因此,从全局和长远利益出发,化地区分割为全国统筹是我国深化养老保障制度改革的必由之路。
Service
把本文推荐给朋友
加入我的书架
加入引用管理器
Email Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
苏宗敏
王中昭
关键词区域经济差异   泰尔指数   空间多层次回归模型   马尔科夫链   区域经济差异   泰尔指数   空间多层次回归模型   马尔科夫链   基本养老金   空间格局   空间效应   空间杜宾模型     
Abstract: This paper examines the patterns of spatial distribution of basic pension in China using exploratory spatial analysis. Then, it explores the determinants of basic pension growth and their relative importance with spatial Durbin model, and decomposes their spatial effects with three spatial weights. The study finds that the high value areas of basic pension mainly concentrate in the northwest and eastern coastal areas; the northeast, the central and southern areas belong to low value areas. The spatial pattern of basic pension reflects the real gap of social insurance for the aged among regions and there is a long-term stable tendency. The spatial spillover effect exists significantly and is mainly affected by economic factors but not demographic factors. The level of basic pension insurance to plan as a whole is low in China, which makes it difficult to transfer across the regions. That leads to obvious regional gap and seriously hinders the basic old-age insurance payment matched with free movement of labor. Therefore, from the overall and long-term interests, it is the only way to change regional segmentation into national pooling for deepening reforms of pension insurance system in China.
KeywordsRegional Economic Disparities   Theil Index   Spatial Multi-level Regression Analysis   Markov Chains   Regional Economic Disparities   Theil Index   Spatial Multi-level Regression Analysis   Markov Chains   Basic Pension   Spatial Pattern   Spatial Effect   Spatial Durbin Model     
收稿日期 2017-05-11; 接受日期 2017-05-11;
基金资助:广西研究生教育创新计划项目(YCBZ2015018);广西高校科研项目(LX2014606)
作者简介: 苏宗敏(1980— ),女,广西南宁人,博士研究生,副教授、高级统计师,主要从事数量经济理论与应用研究;王中昭(1958— ),男,广西钦州人,教授、博士生导师,主要从事数量经济理论与应用研究。
引用本文:   
苏宗敏,王中昭.我国基本养老金增长的空间格局与空间效应[J].  经济经纬, 2017,3: 19-24
SU Zong-min, WANG Zhong-zhao.Spatial Pattern and Spatial Effect of Basic Pension Insurance Growth in China[J]  Economic Survey, 2017,V34(3): 19-24
链接本文:  
http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/     或     http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2017/V34/I3/19
Copyright 2012 by 经济经纬