Abstract:
Selecting Shanghai and Chongqing as two samples, this paper examines the performances of house property tax by employing 37 indexes such as the area of land acquisition in 8 categories and using TRAMO / SEATS empirical statistical techniques to identify the structural change point and make predictions. The results show that house property tax do have a influence on the supply and demand structure in real estate market, for example, the supply structure of dwelling size in Shanghai and the alteration of supply amount in Chongqing responded to the house property tax policy to some extent. While price index of housing did not respond significantly, which indicates that other reform measures are required to achieve better policy performance.