产业生命周期、市场集中与经济绩效 ——基于中国493个工业子行业的实证研究

摘要传统市场集中和经济绩效之间的关系研究,隐含对产业生命周期不变的假设。利用中国2004年、2008年和2013年经济普查的面板数据,基于增长率产业分类法测算493个子行业的产业生命周期,运用调节效应模型,将产业生命周期这一重要变量纳入分析框架,揭示出在产业发展的不同时期,其市场集中度对绩效的影响及变化。实证结果表明:在产业发展的形成期和成长期,扩大产业规模对绩效的影响并不大,而当产业步入稳定期和衰退期时,适当扩大产业规模才能有效提升产业的绩效;产业生命周期不仅直接影响产业的绩效,而且还会对市场集中与经济绩效的关系起到显著的调节作用。

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	郑飞

关键词：产业生命周期市场集中经济绩效调节效应模型

Abstract： Traditional studies on the relationship between the market concentration and the economic performance implicitly assume that the industry life cycle remains constant. Using the panel data of China’s economic censuses in 2004, 2008 and 2013, the industry life cycle of 493 sub-sectors is measured based on the growth rate classification method. The adjustment effect model is adopted to further integrate the industry life cycle, which is an important significant variable, into the analysis framework so as to reveal the the impact of the market concentration on the performance during different periods of the industrial development. The empirical results show that during the formation period and the growth period of the industrial development, expanding industrial scale has little effect on the performance, while in stable and the recession periods it effectively improve the performance of the industry. The industry life cycle not only directly affects the performance of the industry, but also plays a significant role in regulating the relationship between the market concentration and the economic performance.

Keywords： Industry Life Cycle Market Concentration Economic Performance Adjustment Effect Model

收稿日期 2018-09-30; 接受日期 ;

基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目(71503112);河南省哲学社会科学基金项目(2017BJJ014);江西省研究生创新专项资金项目(YC2016-B071)

作者简介: 郑飞(1988— ),女,河南开封人,博士,讲师,主要从事产业组织理论研究。

引用本文:

郑飞.产业生命周期、市场集中与经济绩效 ——基于中国493个工业子行业的实证研究[J]. 经济经纬, 2019,3: 81-87

ZHENG Fei.Industry Life Cycle, Market Concentration and Economic Performance ——An Empirical Study Based on 493 Sub-sectors of China’s Industry[J] Economic Survey, 2019,V36(3): 81-87

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2019/V36/I3/81