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    经济经纬 2014 Issue (2) :80-85
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    企业进入与就业增长——基于中国房地产业省际动态面板数据的实证研究
    李洪亚
    上海财经大学 经济学院, 上海 200433
    New Firm Formation and Employment Growth——An Empirical Study Based on China’s Real Estate Industry
    LI Hong-ya
    School of Economics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China
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摘要 笔者利用1997年~2011年中国房地产业相关数据实证分析了企业进入对就业增长的影响效应, 结果表明:(1)中国房地产业企业进入的当期对就业增长产生较强的正向效应;(2)以后各期既产生正向效应, 也产生负向效应, 总体上来看正向效应较强, 显示出较高的间接供给效应;(3)从长期来看, 其影响效应近似呈U形特征, 在第4或第5期影响效应最小。此结论与中国房地产业的发展与房地产业企业进入的现状相吻合。
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李洪亚
关键词企业进入   就业增长   系统GMM     
Abstract: Based on China’s real estate industry data covering the 1997-2011 period, the paper studies the effects of new firm formation on employment growth. The results show that: (1) the new firms formation in the real estate industry generates strong positive employment effects at the current period; (2) the new firm formation has positive effects as well as negative effects at the subsequent periods, but has strong positive effects as a whole, and the indirect supply effects are more significant; (3) in the long run, the effect is approximately a U-shaped structure, and the lowest point of the effect will be reached at about 4 or 5 years after the new firms have been started. The empirical results are closely connected with the reality of the real estate industry development and the state of the new firm formation.
KeywordsNew Firm Formation   Employment Growth   System GMM     
收稿日期 2013-02-26; 接受日期 2014-03-17;
基金资助:上海财经大学研究生创新基金项目(CXJJ-2011-411)。
作者简介: 李洪亚(1979-), 男, 安徽亳州人, 上海财经大学经济学院博士研究生, 主要从事企业理论、产业组织研究。
引用本文:   
李洪亚.企业进入与就业增长——基于中国房地产业省际动态面板数据的实证研究[J].  经济经纬, 2014,2: 80-85
LI Hong-ya.New Firm Formation and Employment Growth——An Empirical Study Based on China’s Real Estate Industry[J]  Economic Survey, 2014,V31(2): 80-85
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