东道国外资政策调整对FDI进入与退出决策的影响研究—

摘要笔者运用离散时间模型，探讨东道国预料内与预料外的外资政策调整对跨国公司投资决策的影响，结果显示随着外资政策不确定性及期数的增加，投资者将更谨慎地进行投资决策，且要求更高风险补偿。而投资决策惯性区间使FDI 波动对东道国外资政策调整存在响应强度差异。在此基础上，笔者得出中国FDI规模变动与外资政策调整在时间上表现出不一致性。充分发挥外资政策效用的关键是保持外资政策的可预期性、连续性与稳定性。

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	方旖旎

关键词：外资政策调整 FDI 离散时间模型

Abstract： This paper analyzes the dynamic relationship between host country’s adjustment in expect and unexpected foreign investment policy and FDI entry and exit decision with discrete-time mode . As uncertainty and periods increase,investors will be more cautious in decision-making,and require more risk compensation. The existence of inertial range of investment decisions leads to a different response intensity of investment changes has on foreign investment policy adjustments. And it points out that the scale of FDI in China doesn’t change with foreign investment policy adjustment at the same time. And the key measure to making best use of foreign investment policy is to keep its predictability and stability.

Keywords： Adjustment in Foreign Investment Policy FDI Discrete-time Model

收稿日期 2012-05-07; 接受日期 2013-05-06;

基金资助:国家社会科学基金项目（10BGL026）;中南财经政法大学研究生创新教育计划项目（2011B0804）。

作者简介: 方旖旎（1985-），女，湖南岳阳人，中南财经政法大学工商管理学院博士研究生，主要从事跨国经营理论与战略研究。

引用本文:

方旖旎.东道国外资政策调整对FDI进入与退出决策的影响研究——基于离散时间模型[J]. 经济经纬, 2013,3: 47-51

FANG Yi-ni.The Study on the Effect of Host Country’s Adjustment in Foreign Investment Policy upon FDI Entry and Exit Decision——Based on Discrete-time Model[J] Economic Survey, 2013,V1(3): 47-51

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2013/V1/I3/47