Urbanization, Concentration of Population and Economic Growth——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Spatial Dynamic Panel Model
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Abstract There are different views about whether to enlarge these primate cities or to balance the development of the cities in academia. This paper tries to set up a spatial dynamic model to explore how population concentration in urbanization affects economic growth which is based on the data of 31 Chinese mainland provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) during 2001-2012. The result of spatial autoregressive dynamic panel data model shows that the population urbanization as a whole has a promoting effect on economic growth. The bigger the primate city size in urbanization is, the more damage there is to regional economic growth. The estimated results of Space dynamic Durbin model not only support the spatial autoregressive model’s result, but also to some extent, prove that the increasing level of urbanization in adjacent provinces has a promoting effect on regional economic growth. The higher primacy ratio in adjacent province cities, the more negative effects on the region’s economic growth. Fixed capital, financial investment can stimulate the economic growth of the region and adjacent areas. Human capital has a negative effect on the economic growth of adjacent regions.
FANG Da-Chun,ZHANG Fan. Urbanization, Concentration of Population and Economic Growth——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Spatial Dynamic Panel Model. Economic Survey, 2017, 34(1): 08.
2017, Vol. 34 
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