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    经济经纬 2017 Issue (5) :159-164
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    基于风险调整资本回报率模型的互联网金融网贷风险定价研究——以新巴塞尔协议为视角
    熊正德 1,2,张秋萍 1,熊一鹏 1
    1.湖南大学 工商管理学院,湖南 长沙 410082; 2.湖南省两型社会与生态文明协同创新中心,湖南 长沙 410082
    A Study on Risk Pricing of Internet Financial Loan Based on RAROC Model——From the Perspective of Basel Ⅱ Accord
    XIONG Zheng-de 1,2, ZHANG Qiu-ping 1, XIONG Yi-peng 1
    1.School of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha,410082,China; 2.Collaborative Innovation Center of Resource-Conserving & Environment-Friendly Society and Ecological Civilization of Hunan Province, Changsha, 410082, China
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摘要 基于某网贷平台2013年11月发放的24期贷款数据,引入新巴塞尔协议的行业风险标准构建RAROC模型,对平台定价模式下的互联网金融网贷风险定价进行分析。实证结果表明,有无违约记录、担保资格审查最近两年查询次数、性别等9个变量对借款人违约行为有显著影响;Logistic风险评估模型能较好地预测网贷违约概率,其线性变换得到的信用评分卡准确性较高;基于新巴塞尔协议的RAROC模型适用于互联网金融网贷,且比网贷平台现行的固定利率定价模式更具灵活性和风险敏感性,有利于提升网贷定价质量。
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熊正德
张秋萍
熊一鹏
关键词互联网金融网贷   风险评估   风险定价   RAROC模型   新巴塞尔协议     
Abstract: Based on the data of 24 loans released by some internet loan platform in November 2013, this paper introduces industry risk standards of the Basel II Accord into the Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital Model (RAROC) and analyses risk pricing of internet financial loan under platform pricing model. The results show that nine variables, including sex, record of default and inquiries into qualification of guaranty within 2 recent years, have significant impacts on the default behaviors of borrowers. Logistic risk assessment model can predict default probability of internet loans with good accuracy in that the credit score card obtained in this model through linear transformation shows great accuracy. Compared with the fixed interest rate pricing model which is currently widely adopted, the RAROC model based on Basel II is proved to be more flexible and risk-sensitive and helpful in improving the pricing of internet loans.
KeywordsInternet Financial Loan   Risk Assessment   Risk-Based Pricing   RAROC   Basel II Accord     
收稿日期 2016-12-25; 接受日期 2017-09-30;
基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目(71373072);国家自然科学基金项目(71171075);教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划项目(IRT0916);湖南省两型社会与生态文明协同创新中心资助项目
作者简介: 熊正德(1967— ),男,湖南湘潭人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事金融工程与风险管理研究;张秋萍(1991— ),女,福建莆田人,硕士研究生,主要从事金融管理研究;熊一鹏(1981— ),男,湖南桃江人,博士研究生,主要从事金融管理研究。
引用本文:   
熊正德,张秋萍,熊一鹏 .基于风险调整资本回报率模型的互联网金融网贷风险定价研究——以新巴塞尔协议为视角[J].  经济经纬, 2017,5: 159-164
XIONG Zheng-de, ZHANG Qiu-ping, XIONG Yi-peng .A Study on Risk Pricing of Internet Financial Loan Based on RAROC Model——From the Perspective of Basel Ⅱ Accord[J]  Economic Survey, 2017,V34(5): 159-164
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