Abstract:
Trade efficiency is an important way to influence the trade growth between China and RCEP partners. Referring to the “3D” (Density, Distance and Division) framework theory of new economic geography and on the basis of analyzing the influence mechanism of trade efficiency, this paper uses the panel data of 2000-2019 to build a Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model to measure the export efficiency and import efficiency of China and RCEP partners. And based on the “One-Step Method” Inefficiency Model, this paper empirically analyzes the effects of density, distance and segmentation on export efficiency and import efficiency. The results show that the export efficiency and import efficiency are heterogeneity between China and RCEP partner countries, and the import and export potential is huge, in which the import potential is greater than that of the export potential. The increase of economic density of RCEP partner countries is conducive to promoting China’s export efficiency, but not conducive to import efficiency. Urbanization has a significant negative impact on China’s import and export efficiency. Transportation infrastructure has a significantly positive impact on China’s import and export efficiency, and the impact is stronger after the 2008 financial crisis. Communication infrastructure helps to improve the efficiency of China’s import and export. Free trade agreements have a positive impact on China’s import and export efficiency, and the efficiency of partner governments can significantly promote China’s export efficiency and have a time-lag effect on import efficiency. Finally,the policy suggestions are put forward from the aspects of increasing the density, shorten the distance and reducing the division.
WANG Yong, LI Peng.A Study on the Influencing Factors of the Trade Efficiency of China and RCEP Partner Countries Based on the “3D” Framework of New Economic Geography[J] Economic Survey, 2021,V38(5): 51-60
陈创练,谢学臻,林玉婷.2016.全球贸易效率和贸易潜力及其影响因素分析[J].国际贸易问题(7):27-39. 陈继勇,杨旭丹.2019.贸易竞争性、互补性及贸易潜力:基于“一带一路”沿线国家与美加墨统计数据的分析[J].武汉大学学报(哲学社会科学版)(6):99-115. 陈昭,林涛.2018.新经济地理视角下粤港澳市场一体化影响因素研究[J].世界经济研究(12):74-83. 邓富华,冯乾彬,田霖.2019.“一带一路”倡议下中国石油进口贸易效率及潜力研究[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版)(5):18-29. 葛明,赵素萍,程盈莹.2018.互联互通能提高中国出口贸易效率吗:作用机理与实证研究[J].经济问题探索(4):117-127. 郭连成,左云.2021.中国与欧亚经济联盟国家的贸易效率及潜力研究:基于随机前沿引力模型的分析[J].经济问题探索(3):100-110. 胡晓丹.2019.“一带一路”交通基建项目对提升沿线地区贸易效率的作用[J].湖南科技大学学报(社会科学版)(2):60-67. 吕越,尉亚宁.2020.贸易网络地位与对外直接投资[J].中南财经政法大学学报(5):113-124. 倪麟,高丹.2018. 密度、距离、分割对城市劳动生产率的影响:基于四川省2000年—2010年动态面板数据实证研究[J].经济经纬(5):14-19. 王领,陈珊.2019.孟中印缅经济走廊的贸易效率及潜力研究:基于随机前沿引力模型分析[J].亚太经济(4):47-54. 谢来辉.2019.“一带一路”的理论本质是经济一体化[J].辽宁大学学报(哲学社会科学版) (1):153-162. 张燕,高志刚.2015.基于随机前沿引力模型的中澳双边贸易效率及潜力研究[J].国际经贸探索(12):21-31. 张奕芳,刘富华.2018.互联网贸易、出口效率改进及经济增长效应:基于随机前沿模型的新理论解释[J].经济问题探索(8):119-128. 郑健壮,孙璐,朱婷婷.2020.地理距离、技术距离与集群企业的创新绩效:基于传统制造业集群的实证研究[J].浙江树人大学学报(人文社会科学) (1):57-63. 郑小碧.2019.贸易中介空间集聚如何提升出口边际:沟通外溢性视角[J].世界经济研究(9):46-66. ARMSTRONG S P .2007. Measuring trade and trade potential: A survey[Z].Crawford School Asia Pacific Economic Paper,368:1-17. BANO S, SCRIMGEOUR T F.2013.ASEAN-New Zealand trade relations and trade potential: Evidence and analysis[J].Journal of Economic Integration,28(1):144-182. BATTESE G E, COELLI T J.1995.A model for technical inefficiency effects in a stochastic frontier production function for panel data[J].Empirical Economics,20(2):325-332. BOUGHANMI H.2008.The trade potential of the Arab gulf cooperation countries (GCC):A gravity model approach[J].Journal of Economic Integration,23(1):42-56. BRULHART M, MATHYS N A.2008.Sectoral agglomeration economics in a panel of European regions[J].Regional Science and Urban Economics,38(4):348-362. EGGER P.2002.An econometric view on the estimation of gravity models and the calculation of trade potentials[J].World Economy,25(2):297-312. GLAESER E L, KALLAL H D, SCHEINKMAN J A.1992.Growth in cities[J].Journal of Political Economy,100(6):1126-1152. REDDING S, VENABLES A J.2003.Economic geography and international inequality[J].Journal of International Economics,62(1):53-82. WAGNER R, ZAHLER A.2015.New exports from emerging markets: Do followers benefit from pioneers?[J].Journal of Deve-lopment Economics,114:203-223.