农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长的影响及其分解研究—

摘要笔者在分析农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长作用机制的基础上，运用空间Durbin面板模型，实证分析了农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长的影响，并将其分解为直接影响和间接影响。研究发现，农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长具有显著的正向影响;农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长的间接影响远小于其直接影响;农业资本投入和农产品贸易对农业经济增长存在显著正向影响，农业劳动、技术创新对农业经济增长存在负向影响;农业劳动对农业经济增长具有显著的负向间接影响，农产品贸易对农业经济增长具有显著的正向间接影响。最后，笔者提出加快推动农村金融市场开放、提高农村劳动力素质、完善技术创新机制和农产品流通机制、促进金融资源在各区域间有效流动等政策建议。

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	武晓明
	罗剑朝

关键词：农村金融市场开放农业经济增长影响分解空间Durbin面板模型

Abstract： On the basis of theoretical analysis of mechanism of rural financial openness on agricultural economic growth, this paper constructs a spatial Durbin panel model on effects of rural financial openness to agricultural economic growth, then divides into direct effect and indirect effect. The empirical analysis draws the following conclusions:rural financial openness has positive significant effect while the indirect effect is less than direct one. Agricultural capital and agricultural trade have positive significant effects , while effects of agricultural labor and technological innovation are negative. Finally, this paper advises to accelerate rural financial market opening, to improve the rural labor quality, mechanism of technology innovation and agricultural product circulation, and to promote efficient flow of financial resources in different areas.

Keywords： Rural Financial Market Openness Agricultural Economic Growth Decomposition of Effect Spatial Durbin Panel Model

收稿日期 2016-11-02; 接受日期 2016-11-02;

基金资助:教育部“长江学者和创新团队发展计划”创新团队项目(IRT1176);西北农林科技大学基本科研业务费人文社会科学项目(2014RWZD01)

作者简介: 武晓明(1979- )，男，山西大同人，博士研究生，讲师，主要从事农村金融理论研究;罗剑朝(1964- )，男，陕西武功人，教授，博士生导师，主要从事农村金融理论与政策研究。

引用本文:

武晓明，罗剑朝.农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长的影响及其分解研究——基于空间Durbin面板模型的实证分析[J]. 经济经纬, 2016,5: 30-35

WU Xiao-ming , LUO Jian-chao.An Empirical Research of Effects of Rural Financial Market Openness on Agricultural Economic Growth and its Decomposition ——Based on Spatial Durbin Panel Model[J] Economic Survey, 2016,V33(5): 30-35

链接本文:

http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.jjjw.org.cn/CN/Y2016/V33/I5/30